Falcons at Buccaneers Odds and Betting Prediction for Week 8

First place in the NFC North is on the line Sunday as the Atlanta Falcons look to complete the season sweep of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are without both star receivers due to injury and short home dogs on the NFL odds.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: 2024 NFL Expert Analysis in Week 8

Opening NFL Lines Subject to Change: Falcons -2.5 (total 46)
Expert Prediction: Falcons 26, Bucs 23

Atlanta Falcons NFL Line -143

The Falcons had a three-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a surprising 34-14 home loss to Seattle. Kirk Cousins completed 24 of 35 passes for 232 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions and rushed once for minus-1 yard. He also lost a fumble that was returned for a touchdown. Cousins’ trio of turnovers certainly had a part to play in the lopsided loss, as he handed the ball to the Seahawks on three consecutive second-half possessions. The miscues netted a total of 10 points for Seattle.

Drake London

No. 1 WR London secured six of eight targets for 63 yards and a touchdown. The third-year pro scored for the third straight game on a five-yard grab midway through the third quarter for his fifth TD of the year. His streak of three straight games with a TD catch is the longest for a Falcons player since tight end Hayden Hurst in 2020 when he did so from Weeks 14-16. London has emerged as Cousins’ clearcut No. 1 target as it was London’s sixth consecutive game with at least six receptions and 50 yards, the longest active streak in the NFL. Bijan Robinson had 21 rushes for 103 yards and a touchdown, adding three catches for 40 yards. He now has two total TDs on the year, already matching his rookie season.

.@Bijan5Robinson making video game moves 🔥https://t.co/4yVnQQsWkZ pic.twitter.com/a2yRGc934f
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) October 22, 2024

Atlanta struggled to get much going against the beleaguered Seahawks defense, which gave up an average of nearly 36 points a game during a three-game skid entering Sunday. “A tough day at the office,” Cousins said. “Pro football has a way of testing you like that.”

The Defense

Defensively, the team’s lack of a pass rush was obvious yet again. The Falcons have a league-worst six sacks, and their pass rush win rate (34.4%) is the sixth-worst in the NFL. Atlanta made a trade on the eve of the season by sending a 2025 third-round pick to the New England Patriots for edge rusher Matthew Judon. Judon had 15.5 sacks in 2022 but a season-ending bicep injury cut short his 2023 campaign. So far, Judon has just 1.5 sacks through seven games. He’s tied for the team lead in sacks with interior defensive lineman Grady Jarrett.

The Falcons have not had a respectable pass rush in nearly a decade. They were near the bottom in every pass rush statistical category in 2023 and haven’t had a double-digit sack producer since Vic Beasley in 2016. The Falcons defense gave up six plays of more than 20 yards Sunday. Coming into the game, Atlanta had allowed a league-low 11 plays of 20-plus yards.

Penalties and miscues hindered the Falcons at the start of the season, and they returned against the Seahawks. Atlanta committed nine penalties setting them back 72 yards. The timing of those penalties was impactful, stalling drives for the Falcons’ offense and keeping the Seahawks’ drives alive.

Injuries

For this game, the Falcons have several injured players trending in the right direction, headlined by left guard Matthew Bergeron and inside linebacker Troy Andersen. Bergeron was hurt in Sunday’s loss while Andersen has missed the past three with a knee injury but has been practicing this week. Andersen was named NFC Defensive Player of the Week earlier this season.

Raheem Morris

“We’ll get him out there, get him to move around a little bit, and see where he is,” Head Coach said. “Troy is a Ferrari, so to speak, and Troy’s game is based off being able to move fast and vicious and speed. What makes Troy special, scoring touchdowns for us, is his ability to run and be as healthy as possible.”

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Week 8 Odds provided by MyBookie

Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Line +117

The Bucs not only lost 41-31 at home to Baltimore on Monday night but also lost their two Pro Bowl receivers, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, to injuries. Godwin’s season is expected to be finished as he needs surgery for a dislocated left ankle. Evans, a future Hall of Famer and franchise leading scorer, suffered what Coach Todd Bowles described as a “moderate” hamstring strain and will be sidelined “a couple weeks.” He said Evans likely won’t return until after the team’s Week 11 bye week, meaning they’ll be without nearly 50% of their team’s offensive receiving production until then.

Mike Evans and Chris Godwin

Evans and Godwin entered Week 7 tied for the league lead in touchdown receptions with five each, with Evans recording a sixth on a 25-yard touchdown Monday, making him just the 11th player in NFL history to reach 100 receiving touchdowns. Evans had hoped to tie Jerry Rice this season for the most consecutive 1,000-yard seasons after recording 10 in his first 10 campaigns. Up until this point, Evans has only missed nine regular-season games, with just seven due to injury or illness.

THE DEFINITION OF GREATNESS 🐐 pic.twitter.com/jTEumlEdLJ
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) October 22, 2024

Godwin was putting forth a career season, leading all receivers with 50 receptions and 33 receiving first downs, while trailing only Ja’Marr Chase (620) in receiving yards (576) and tying for third in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (five). Evans and Godwin are 1-of-3 sets of teammates to go over 1,000 yards each in both 2022 and 2023 and the only duo to do so in each of the past three seasons.

Todd Bowles

“We’ve looked at outside the building, but to get a true No. 1 in here, you got to make some massive trades and give up quite a bit. That’s not where we are at this point,” Bowles said in regards to a possible trade for a wideout . “We feel comfortable with the guys in the building. They’re probably not of name status of Mike and Chris or as accomplished right now, but that doesn’t mean they can’t play. We’ll alter some things and [Rakim] Jarrett will be back this week. We’ll look at him in practice as well and we’ll make a decision off of that.”

Baker Mayfield

Needless to say, those injuries are going to hurt QB Baker Mayfield, who is having a career season. In Monday’s loss, he completed 31 of 45 passes for 370 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions and added five rushes for 22 yards. He also threw a two-point conversion pass. Mayfield has now eclipsed 300 yards on three occasions overall in the first seven games and has had at least three touchdown passes in three consecutive contests.

Mayfield has the second-highest passer rating by a Tampa Bay quarterback through seven games of any QB who has started at least five of the team’s first seven games (107.1), trailing only Tom Brady in 2021 (108.2). Tampa Bay has amassed 1,075 net yards of offense in its last two games – the most across any two-game span in franchise history and the most across a two-game span by any team this season. The team’s 82 points are the fourth-most points scored across a two-game span in franchise history.

The Running Backs

With contributions from Rachaad White, Bucky Irving and Sean Tucker, Tampa Bay’s running back corps ranks first in the NFL in scrimmage yards (801) and receiving yards (275) since Week 4, while ranking second in rushing yards (526) during that span. All three Tampa Bay running backs are averaging over 5.0 yards per touch this season, including Tucker leading all running backs with 9.7 yards per touch. The Bucs 5.1 rushing yards per attempt is the team’s highest average through seven games in team history.

How to Watch Falcons at Bucs in Week 8

When: Sunday, 1 PM ET
Where: Raymond James Stadium
TV: FOX
Stream Option: https://tv.youtube.com/learn/nflsundayticket/

Falcons vs Bucs Last Meeting

This already will conclude the season series as on Thursday night in Week 5, the Falcons beat the visiting Bucs 36-30 in overtime. Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins threw for a career-high 509 yards and four touchdowns, the last of them a 45-yard scoring pass to KhaDarel Hodge in overtime. Younghoe Koo kicked a 52-yard field goal at the end of regulation to send it to OT for the Falcons. Baker Mayfield threw for three scores, two to Mike Evans, in a losing effort.

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2023 Falcons vs Buccaneers, Week 7

In Week 7 of the NFL, the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to face off in a crucial divisional matchup on Sunday.

Both teams are part of the NFC South, a division where three teams are separated by just half a game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers currently lead the division with a 3-2 record, although they are coming off a recent loss at home to the Detroit Lions.

As for the Atlanta Falcons, they stand at 3-3 for the season but also suffered a home loss in their previous game, falling 24-16 to the Washington Football Team. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favorites in this game. Tampa Bay is listed at -2.5 over Atlanta on Sunday.

MyBookie offers the game prediction plus NFL betting lines, analysis, along with a free pick for Atlanta Falcons versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers which are playing on Week 7 of the NFL season.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Odds and Betting Prediction for this Week 7 Matchup | MyBookie NFL Week 7 Regular Season Preview

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NFL Week 7
ATS: Buccaneers -2.5
Money line: Falcons +117 / Buccaneers -143
Over/Under: 38

Sunday, October 22nd, 2023 at 1:00 pm ET | FOX
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Ridder Off to Slow Start

Atlanta’s quarterback, Desmond Ridder, is experiencing some growing pains in his second year as a starter. Ridder has thrown six touchdown passes, but he has also thrown six interceptions this season.

He’s been building chemistry with Drake London, who has emerged as his top target, tallying 329 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Rookie running back Bijan Robinson has yet to find the end zone on the ground but has caught a couple of touchdown passes. Robinson has accumulated 401 rushing yards on 80 carries this season.

Unfortunately, the Falcons’ offense is struggling, averaging just 16.5 points per game, ranking them fourth worst in the league.

The Falcons’ schedule shows that they are embarking on a two-game road trip, with their next game against the Tennessee Titans.

Tampa Bay Looking for Immediate Bounce Back

For the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, last week was a disappointment they would like to forget. It was their second loss in three home games this season.

Baker Mayfield has taken over as the starting quarterback and has thrown seven touchdowns but also three interceptions. The Buccaneers’ offense couldn’t get going last week, managing only six points against Detroit. In their other loss this season, they scored just 11 points.

Tampa Bay is struggling in the rushing department, ranking as one of the worst rushing teams in the league this season.

They’re averaging under 80 yards per game when looking at the overall team statistics. Rachaad White has been unable to find his rhythm, accumulating just 232 rushing yards and one touchdown this season.

Mike Evans remains the primary target for the Tampa Bay offense, amassing 386 receiving yards and three touchdowns. The Buccaneers’ roster remains largely unchanged from their postseason run last season, minus the legendary quarterback Tom Brady.

The Buccaneers are about to embark on a two-game road stint. First, they have a Thursday Night Football matchup in Week 8 against the Buffalo Bills, followed by a Sunday game against the Houston Texans.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Prediction | Tampa Bay Beats Atlanta in NFC South Battle

This is the first of two meetings between these two teams. They will face each other again in Atlanta on December 10th, likely with both teams hovering around the .500 mark.

This is the nature of their division, which saw the division champion finish with a sub-.500 record just last season. Expect a low-scoring contest, with the Falcons relying on their running game and the Buccaneers employing a short passing game and solid defense.

Even the total of 38.5 seems quite low. The Buccaneers are poised to secure a home victory, likely by a touchdown. Consider taking Tampa Bay with a 24-17 victory in Week 7 action.

Bet on the Buccaneers -2.5! Good luck with your NFL picks, and enjoy the games!

NFL Week 7 TNF Pick: ATS Buccaneers -2.5 | Bet Falcons vs Buccaneers
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

Atlanta Falcons Last 5

Date	OPP	Result
10/15/23	vs WSH	L24-16
10/8/23	vs HOU	W21-19
10/1/23	vs JAX	L23-7
9/24/23	@ DET	L20-6
9/17/23	vs GB	W25-24

Atlanta Falcons Injury Report

Name \| Position	Status	DATE
No injured players

NFL Odds

Atlanta Falcons
Super Bowl Odds to Win: +8000
NFC Conference Odds to Win: +3500

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Super Bowl Odds to Win: +7000
NFC Conference Odds to Win: +3200

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last 5

Date	OPP	Result
10/15/23	vs DET	L20-6
10/1/23	@ NO	W26-9
9/24/23	vs PHI	L25-11
9/17/23	vs CHI	W27-17
9/10/23	@ MIN	W20-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report

Name \| Position	Status	DATE
Baker Mayfield QB	Questionable	Oct 16
Anthony Nelson LB	Questionable	Oct 17

NFC South Standings | Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Team	W	L	Strk
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	2	W1
Pittsburgh Steelers	3	2	W1
Cleveland Browns	3	2	W1
Cincinnati Bengals	3	3	W2

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Falcons are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
Conversely, the Buccaneers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
Also, the Falcons are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Tampa Bay has beaten the spread three times in five games.
The Buccaneers are yet to lose ATS (1-0) as a 2.5-point favorite or greater this season.
The Buccaneers have had one game (out of five) hit the over this season.
The Falcons have one win against the spread this year.
Atlanta is winless ATS (0-2) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this season.
One of the Falcons’ six games has gone over the point total.