Betting NFL Game Odds for Jaguars vs Lions Pick for the 2024 NFL Week 11

 

As the Week 11 matchup between the Detroit Lions and Jacksonville Jaguars approaches, understanding the NFL game odds is crucial for making informed bets. Detroit enters this game with one of the league’s most potent rushing attacks, while Jacksonville struggles to stop the run, which could lead to a high-scoring, lopsided affair.

With the Lions’ offensive line in top form and the Jaguars’ defense vulnerable to ground games, this game offers bettors a unique opportunity. In this post, we’ll break down key factors influencing the game and how the NFL game odds might shift as we approach kickoff.

 

Betting Jaguars vs Lions Pick for the 2024 NFL Week 11
NFL Week 11 Firestorm: Jaguars vs. Lions – Who Will Reign Supreme?

2024 NFL Season | 104th season of National League in the United States
Week 11: Thursday, November 21st – Monday, November 11th, 2024

 

Betting 2024 Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions Week 11 Game

The Week 11 matchup between the Detroit Lions and Jacksonville Jaguars pits two teams in drastically different circumstances.

The Lions, sitting atop the NFC North with an impressive 8-1 record, are widely considered Super Bowl contenders this season.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars, at 2-8 and last in the AFC South, are enduring a disastrous campaign with major questions at quarterback following Trevor Lawrence’s injury.

Detroit comes into this game riding a seven-game winning streak and has been dominant on both sides of the ball, even managing to win games despite struggles from quarterback Jared Goff.

In contrast, Jacksonville is battling for the top pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, with a patchwork offense and a defense that has been consistently exploited.

Ford Field provides an added advantage for the Lions, who are unbeaten at home this season.

With Detroit’s potent rushing attack and Jacksonville’s inability to stop the run, this game could turn into a lopsided affair.

The Jacksonville Jaguars head to Detroit to take on the Lions hoping to salvage anything from what has already been a brutal season.

The Jags are 2-8 and have zero chance of making the playoffs.

More alarming, the Jaguars have succeeded to be worse than they were last season, and they weren’t great in 2023.

For Detroit, a victory helps the 8-1 Lions take another step towards the top seed in the NFC Playoffs.

Keep reading for NFL odds, analysis, and free picks for Jags at Lions.

 

NFL Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions
Sunday, November 10th, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST CBS | Ford Field, Detroit, MI

ATS Odds: Detroit -14
Money line Odds: Jaguars +560, Lions -560
Over/Under Odds: 46.5

 

Writer’s Breakdown and Pick for the Jaguars vs Lions Game

Reasons to bet Jacksonville versus Detroit

The Jaguars were close to beating the Vikings in their last

Although the Jaguars have had an awful season, Jacksonville showed major improvement in their last.

Facing a strong Vikings squad, the Jags hung tough in a 5-point loss.

Minnesota beat Jacksonville 12-7.

For the first time this season, the Jaguars’ defense stepped it up.

If further improvement happens, the Jaguars could keep any loss to Detroit under the 13 points spread.

Jacksonville catches Detroit after a tough come from behind win

At halftime in last week’s game versus the Houston Texans, the Lions had dug themselves a 23-7 hole.

The Texans looked poised to hand Detroit their second loss of the season.

Jared Goff, even though, he threw 5 picks, rallied Detroit to an improbable 26-23 come from behind victory.

The win showed the Lions’ grit but rallying to hard on the road for a victory often comes with a cost.

The Jags could catch a physically and mentally tired Lions squad on Sunday.

The Jaguars are under the radar heading into this matchup

Nobody believes the Jags keep this close.

Jacksonville has lost game after game this season.

So not only will the Lions likely be tired but they may also be looking past Jacksonville.

After the Jags, the Lions must travel to Indianapolis and then take on the rival Chicago Bears.

If Detroit is looking ahead, the Jaguars could surprise at least against the spread.

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Reasons to bet Detroit versus Jacksonville

The Lions have lost 1 game this season

All you must do is look at the record to realize how well the Detroit Lions have played this season.

Detroit has lost single game.

The defeat came in NFL Week 2 against Tampa Bay.

Since falling to Baker and the Bucs, Detroit has won 7 straight.

In their last 2 games, the Lions have beaten playoff contenders Green Bay and Houston.

You require luck to go 8-1 but you also have to be a good football team.

Jared Goff is playing like an MVP

Although Goff threw 5 interceptions against the Texans, the Detroit Lions quarterback rallied his mates to an improbable come from behind victory.

What it shows is that Goff has the incredible leadership skills that MVPs possess.

The stats are decent, over 2,000 passing yards and 16 TDs.

But it’s the ability to lead the Lions that has fans in Detroit shouting MVP. Goff is a winner.

Detroit’s defense is locking down opponents

Detroit’s defense has stepped it up.

In the Lions’ last 3 games, the D has dominated.

The Tennessee Titans scored 14 in a 52-14 Detroit victory.

At Lambeau Field versus Green Bay, the Lions allowed 14 to Jordan Love and the Packers in a 24-14 win.

Detroit gave up 23 points to Houston in the first half but then proceeded to keep the Texans from scoring any points in the second.

The Lions D is one of the reasons Detroit is a massive -13 points favorite.

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Jaguars vs Lions Key Matchups

Offense vs Defense

Detroit Lions: The Lions rank among the league’s best in offensive efficiency.

Their rushing game, led by David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, complements Jared Goff’s passing attack.

Despite Goff’s struggles last week, Detroit has consistently found ways to score through creative play-calling and balanced production.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Without Trevor Lawrence, the Jaguars’ offense lacks consistency.

Mac Jones has stepped in but managed just 3.3 yards per play last week.

Jacksonville’s rushing attack has been lackluster, and their passing game, led by inexperienced quarterbacks, is riddled with turnovers.

Key Stat: Detroit’s defense allows just 100.8 rushing yards per game (6th in the league), while Jacksonville’s offense averages a meager 107.7 yards on the ground (25th).

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Jaguars vs Lions Picks and Predictions

Spread Pick

The Lions are massive 13.5-point favorites, and for good reason.

Detroit has dominated weaker opponents all season, with an average margin of victory of over 20 points in their last two home games.

Jacksonville’s defense has been unable to contain strong rushing teams, and their offense is unlikely to keep pace.

NFL Pick: Detroit -13.5

 

Prop Bet

Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime Touchdown (-105): Amon-Ra St. Brown has been the centerpiece of Detroit’s passing game, scoring in seven consecutive games.

With Jacksonville’s defense ranking near the bottom in passing yards allowed, St. Brown is a strong candidate to find the end zone once again.

NFL Prop Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime Touchdown (-105)

 

Total Points Pick

While the Lions could score enough to approach the total themselves, Jacksonville’s offense is unlikely to contribute much.

With Detroit leaning heavily on their ground game and the Jaguars struggling in every facet, this game could fall under the total.

NFL Pick: Under 47.0

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Jaguars vs Lions Conclusion

On paper, Detroit easily wins this, the Lions are heavy favorites for a reason.

But the Lions might be due for a letdown game.

With a balanced offensive attack, a solid defense, and the home-field advantage, Detroit is set to continue their dominant season.

On the other hand, Jacksonville’s season has gone from bad to worse, and without Trevor Lawrence, their chances of staying competitive are slim.

This game highlights the gap between a legitimate contender and a team in rebuilding mode.

Both the Lions and the Chiefs have been playing at such a high level that a letdown is bound to happen soon.

In this case, Jacksonville is the perfect team to provide that letdown moment.

The Jags won’t stop the Lions from scoring but if Detroit has some doubts after the Houston contest, and they might, the Jaguars could make this desperately close.

Although it’s tough to back the Jags to win straight up, taking the points makes sense.

As for the total, both teams should score enough to breach 48.

A total over 50 is likely because Lawrence and his mates will go after the Lions still suspect secondary.

Go Jaguars ATS to over the total.

NFL Week 11 ATS Pick: Jacksonville +13
NFL Week 11 O/U Pick: Over 47.5

 

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Jaguars vs Lions Trends and Insights

• Jacksonville ATS: The Jaguars are 6-4 ATS this season, often covering in games where they are significant underdogs. However, they’ve failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 matchups against Detroit.
• Detroit ATS: The Lions are 7-2 ATS, including 5-0 at home. They’ve covered in their last three games against teams with losing records.
• Home Dominance: The Lions are 5-0 at Ford Field this season and have won those games by an average margin of 16 points.
• Jacksonville’s Road Struggles: The Jaguars are winless on the road (0-5) and have lost their last two away games by double digits.

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Lions vs. Jaguars Series History

Last meeting:
Jaguars 14, Lions 40: December 4th, 2022: Week 13 – Ford Field, Detroit, MI

Head-to-head (includes postseason games):
Detroit Lions lead series 5-3-0

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DETROIT LIONS WIN VS HOUSTON TEXANS

JARED GOFF JUST WON A GAME WHILE THROWING 5 (five) INTERCEPTIONS

JAKE BATES IS A DEMON WTF BRO

I’VE NEVER SEEN ANYTHING LIKE THIS

CARLTON DAVIS TWO PICKS

CJ STROUD THANK YOU

JAMO GOOD GAME

JAGUARS NEXT WEEK pic.twitter.com/yCgnA7oGOJ

— Hoodie Cam (@camhashoes) November 11, 2024

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