Bills vs. Texans: Key Insights and Picks for Week 5 NFL Action

For those seeking the best NFL bets today, the matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Houston Texans stands out as one of the most exciting games in Week 5. Buffalo enters as a slight favorite at -120 on the money line, while the Texans are positioned at +100, making this game a must-watch for bettors.

Bills vs Texans Pick for the 2024 NFL Week 5 Game
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2024 NFL Season | 104th season of National League in the United States
Week 5: Thursday, October 3rd – Monday, October 7th, 2024

Betting 2024 Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans Week 5 Game

One of the best games on the slate for Week 5 of the National Football League season features the Buffalo Bills on the road at the Houston Texans.

The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans are two of the favorites to potentially take down Kansas City in the AFC.

Both teams come into the game at 3-1 on the season, and both leading their respective divisions.

The Bills are coming off a loss to the Ravens, while Houston picked up a win in Week 4 over the Jaguars.

The Buffalo Bills were the talk of the National Football League following three weeks of play.

The Bills won a narrow one over Arizona to start the season.

After that, they went on the road and beat up on the Miami Dolphins, and then embarrassed the Jacksonville Jaguars.

On Sunday Night Football, Buffalo was smoked by the Baltimore Ravens by a score of 35-10.

Houston started the season with a road win at Indianapolis and then followed it up with a Sunday Night Football win over the Chicago Bears.

The Texans, who made the postseason last season then lost big at Minnesota.

In Week 4, they had to down the Jacksonville Jaguars by a score of 24-20.

We expect this to be a fun game and one of the most competitive games of the season.

Oddsmakers agree as the Buffalo Bills are -1 on the road.

The total for this affair is set at 47.5.

If you are interested in betting the money line, Buffalo is listed at -120, while the Houston Texans are +100.

NFL Week 5: Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
Sunday, October 6th, 2024 at 1:00 PM CBS | NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

ATS Odds: Buffalo -1
Money line Odds: Bills -118 / Texans -104
Over/Under Odds: 47.5

Writer’s Breakdown and Pick for the Bills vs Texans Game

Last Season

Both teams reached the postseason last season.

The Houston Texans went 10-7, won the AFC South, and won their first-round playoff series against the Browns.

In the next round, Houston was blown out by the Baltimore Ravens.

The Buffalo Bills had a late-season surge that got them into the postseason and won a playoff game.

Buffalo was 6-6, before winning the AFC East with an 11-6 mark.

After downing the Pittsburgh Steelers in the first round, Buffalo was unable to slow down Kansas City in the divisional round.

Allen Leading the Way for Buffalo

Quarterback Josh Allen is leading the way for the offense in Buffalo.

The signal-caller has completed nearly 70% of his passes this season, with 814 yards and 7 touchdowns.

Allen has yet to turn the football over this season for Buffalo.

He also is third on the squad with 106 yards on the ground.

The top rushing threats for Buffalo have been James Cook and Ray Davis.

Cook has 50 carries to 26 for Davis.

Cook has 227 yards and 3 touchdowns on the season.

Buffalo is 17th in the league with 110.7 yards per game on the ground.

The receiving core has seen six guys score touchdowns for the Buffalo Bills.

Khalil Shakir is the only receiver with two touchdowns, while the other five have one on the season.

Shakir has 230 yards, while Dalton Kincaid is second with 132 on the season.

Stroud Still Growing Under Center

CJ Stroud continues to grow as the quarterback for the Houston Texans.

Stroud, in his second season as an NFL quarterback, has completed 67.6% of his passes for more than 1,050 yards and six touchdowns.

Stroud has two interceptions and has been sacked 13 times on the season.

His top target has been Nico Collins.

The former Michigan Wolverines star has been solid, with 30 receptions in four games.

Collins leads the NFL with 489 yards on the season.

He, along with Stefon Diggs both have two touchdown receptions on the season.

The run game is led by Joe Mixon.

Mixon, who missed Week 3, still leads the team with 39 carries and 184 yards.

After him, it is Cam Akers, with 29 carries on the season.

Stroud is third on the team with 11 rushing attempts and 41 yards.

Defense Wins Championships

On the defensive side, the Buffalo Bills are led by Dorian Williams and Cam Lewis.

They have combined for nearly 70 tackles on the season.

The Bills have four interceptions on the season, and have forced four fumbles.

Ja’Marcus Ingram is the lone player for the Buffalo defense that has scored a touchdown so far in 2024.

Will Anderson leads the Houston defense with 2.5 sacks on the season.

Anderson, who is 23 years old out of Alabama has a great first step, and it is hard for offensive linemen to slow him down.

The Texans have three interceptions and have forced one fumble on the season.

Houston has yet to score a touchdown on the defensive side of the ball.

What’s Next?

The Buffalo Bills are in the middle of three straight road games.

Next, they will finish their road trip at the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.

Following that, they will get to play at home again on October 20th against the Tennessee Titans.

The Bills finish October at Seattle.

For Houston, they will head out on the road for their next two games.

The Texans start in New England in Week 6 and then head to Green Bay for Week 7.

The next time they are at home is on October 27th against the Colts.

Houston Tops Buffalo in Week 5

Look for this to be a competitive football game.

The Bills are going to want to bounce back in a big way.

This is another big game for Sean McDermott and his Bills.

But, in Houston, we are going to side with the Texans.

The talent for Houston is strong, and they are playing pretty consistently right now.

Our final bet for this game on Sunday is the Houston Texans +1 over the Buffalo Bills.

We will look at taking Texans +100 and also consider betting the UNDER as Houston wins 27-20.

Best of luck with all your betting!

NFL Week 5 ATS Pick: Buffalo Bills -2

Buffalo at Houston Betting Trends Today

Stefon Diggs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games
Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games
C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games
Khalil Shakir has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games
James Cook has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Longest Reception Over in 5 of his last 6 away games
Bills have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games
Bills have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games
Bills have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games
Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games
Texans have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games
Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games

Texans vs. Bills Series History

Last meeting:
Bills 40, Texans 0 on October 3rd, 2021: Week 5 Match – Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Head-to-head (includes postseason games):
Houston Texans lead series 6-5-0

Bet the NFL Week 5 | NFL Live Betting MyBookie Betting Lines for the Games

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The Texans NEED to get Joe Mixon back this weekend vs the Bills if they want their offense to play up to their standards.

Cam Akers is not a NFL back and the film shows it especially running between the tackles

Especially with how Bobby Slowik calls his offense they need Mixon. pic.twitter.com/1pFKmiBlYZ
— Jacob (@Stroud4MVP) October 2, 2024

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Study Team and Player Stats:
Get familiar with both team and player statistics.
Understanding a team’s offense, defense, and special teams, along with how individual players perform, will help you make smarter bets.
Look into recent injuries, team form, and past head-to-head matchups.
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Monitoring how betting lines shift during the week can give you insights into where the public is placing their bets, as well as where sharp money is going.
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Following NFL news sections on sportsbooks or other reliable platforms will keep you informed about updates that could affect game outcomes.
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Bills vs Texans 2020 NFL Wild Card Odds, Preview & Pick

Previous Betting News

The Buffalo Bills head to Houston to battle the Texans in this season’s first NFL Wildcard Game. The battle takes place on Saturday, Jan. 4. The Texans are a slight favorite. Will Houston win and cover? Or, will the Bills do enough to survive and advance? Check out NFL Wildcard odds, analysis, and a free pick for Bills vs Texans!

How to Bet Bills vs Texans 2020 NFL Wild Card Odds & Game Info

When: Saturday, Jan. 4 at 4:35 pm ET
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
TV: ESPN / ABC
Over/Under Total Odds: 42 ½

Why the Buffalo Bills are a good bet +2 ½?

Buffalo’s defense has played lights out this season. The Bills allow 330.2 total yards per game. That ranks third in the NFL. They give up 195.2 passing yards. Opponents average 16.2 points per. Buffalo ranks second in points allowed. Almost as important? The star defenders got a chance to rest last Sunday because Buffalo’s postseason seed wasn’t changing with a loss. A fresh, awesome defense, could lead to an upset win on the moneyline.

Why the Houston Texans are a good bet -2 ½?

Buffalo has a great defense but Houston has quarterback Deshaun Watson. Watson threw for 26 touchdown passes and 3,852 yards. He also rushed for 413 yards and 7 TDs. Deshaun’s primary target is DeAndre Hopkins, who once again caught over 100 passes. Hopkins also caught 8 touchdowns. If the Bills try to shut down Watson to Hopkins, they must deal with Carlos Hyde. The starting running back rumbled for over 1,000 yards this season. Houston’s got enough weapons to get the win and cover on Saturday.

Bills vs Texans NFL Wildcard Final NFL Betting Analysis

Houston can take this if their 3 stars on offense have everything working. But they won’t because the Bills won’t give them a ton of opportunities.

The Bills field a slow offense. It averages 19.6 points per. Their quarterback, Josh Allen, completes 58.8% of his passes. Buffalo can run the football, though. Rookie running back Devin Singletary amassed 775 yards rushing after not starting for half the season. Singletary averages 5.1 yards per carry. He’s got great hands and he can block.

Buffalo also uses veteran Frank Gore. With both Singletary and Gore, Buffalo can control time of possession. If they need Allen to complete passes, he will. The Bills’ pedestrian by design offense should keep the ball out of Deshaun Watson’s hands. Buffalo wins straight up.

NFL Wildcard Free Pick: Bills moneyline