Over the years, we have seen teams get to the brink of making the playoffs only to fall off the pace in the final weeks of the season and miss out.
This is the stage of the season when desperation sets in for a lot of teams, with some able to raise their game and get on a run in the final few weeks that carries them to the postseason.
NFL Betting Analysis in the Week 13
Of course, we are also at the point in the season where some teams are already out of playoff contention, but those are often the teams that play the role of spoiler.
We have that type of matchup this weekend, with the lowly Titans looking to spoil the party for the Washington Commanders.
Let’s take a look at this one while also looking at what each team has remaining on their schedule.
The Commanders are a 5 ½ point home favorite, with the total set at 44 ½.
^Tennessee Titans Odds +196
This was always going to be a transition season for the Titans, a team that is very much in rebuilding mode. Coming into this weekend with a 3-8 record, things are going exactly as most of us expected, but what we should not expect is that this team is just going to roll over and die. They proved that last weekend with a 32-27 win over the Houston Texans in a game that the Titans started as an 8-point underdog.
The @Titans have moved CB Chidobe Awuzie to the team’s 'Designated for Return' list.
— Jim Wyatt (@jwyattsports) November 27, 2024
Awuzie is eligible to return to practice today, but he remains on Injured Reserve.
READ https://t.co/UXeoNwO71n pic.twitter.com/xeJ4Tq9Wyz
On the downside, Tennessee has lost 5 in a row against teams from the NFC and have also won just once in their last 10 games played in December. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 versus the Commanders but just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 overall. Here is how their remaining schedule looks:
Given how last week went, it’s tough to know how this team is going to close things out, but what we do know is that they are missing the playoffs.
^Washington Commanders Odds -248
The Commanders had control of the NFC East for a minute, but they are now heading in the wrong direction and have been overtaken by the surging Philadelphia Eagles. They have lost 3 in a row and are in need of a win to stop the bleeding, although you do have to wonder just how deep the rot has set in at this point.
Home field is not the advantage you might expect, as Washington is just 4-9 SU in their last 13 home games. They have also failed to cover in their last 6 home meetings against the Titans, with the OVER hitting in their last 5 games versus teams from the AFC. Let’s look at their final few regular season games:
Thursday injury report#TENvsWAS | #RaiseHail
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) November 28, 2024
If the Commanders can win this weekend, things will look a little brighter, but this is not an easy run in for a team sitting right on the cut line.
^Titans at Commanders Odds & Betting Prediction in Week 13
This is a bit of a desperation game for the Commander, who could potentially fall out of the playoffs with another loss.
With that in mind, I think they find a way to get back to winning.
Tennessee Titans 13, Washington Commanders 30
^How to Watch and Bet Titans at Commanders Odds in NFL Week 13
Date & Time: Sunday, December 1 at 1:00 PM EST
Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
TV: CBS
Titans and Commanders in the Standings
AFC SOUTH | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | T | % | PF | PA | Home | Road | Strk |
Texans | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0.583 | 285 | 268 | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | 1L |
Colts | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0.417 | 242 | 274 | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | 1L |
Titans | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0.273 | 202 | 290 | 1-4-0 | 2-4-0 | 1W |
Jaguars | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0.182 | 208 | 316 | 2-3-0 | 0-6-0 | 4L |
NFC EAST | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | T | % | PF | PA | Home | Road | Strk |
Eagles | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0.818 | 296 | 199 | 4-1-0 | 5-1-0 | 7W |
Commanders | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0.583 | 334 | 277 | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | 3L |
Cowboys | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0.417 | 248 | 339 | 1-5-0 | 4-2-0 | 2W |
Giants | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0.167 | 183 | 279 | 0-6-0 | 2-4-0 | 7L |
W: Games Won | L: Missed Matches | T: Tied Matches | %: Percentage Victories | PF: Total Points For | PA: Total Points Against | HOME: Home Record | ROAD: Road Record | Strk: Streak
^The playoff picture heading into tonight's MNF battle between the Ravens and Chargers 👀 pic.twitter.com/wfUGaKNfex
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) November 25, 2024
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