NFL Game Lines: Betting Chiefs vs Bills Pick for 2024 NFL Week 11 Showdown

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Previous Betting News

The NFL Divisional Round happens this weekend and although all of the games are intriguing the one that most will have their eyes on pits Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills at home versus Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. The Bills won the regular season head-to-head.

Will KC exact revenge as the slight +2.5 road dog? Or will Buffalo end Kansas City’s quest for back-to-back Super Bowl titles?

MyBookie offers the NFL lines for this AFC Divisional Round match with the Bills as favorites at -2.5 over the Bills and a total set at 45.5.

Chiefs vs Bills Odds and Betting Pick for this AFC Divisional Round Matchup | MyBookie NFL Playoff Preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills | AFC Divisional Round
ATS Odds: Bills -2.5
Money line Odds: Kansas City Chiefs Line: +125 / Buffalo Bills Line: -145
Over/Under Odds: 45.5

Saturday, January 21st at 6:30 pm ET | NBC
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, New York

Kansas City Chiefs Analysis

The Chiefs offense had struggled, but in the 26-7 wild card victory over the Miami Dolphins, Mahomes and his mates got it going. The Kansas City quarterback completed 23-of-41 for 262 yards and a TD.

Chiefs fans had to love how Mahomes threw 8 passes to Rashee Rice for 130 yards and a TD. Rice has become a go to receiver for Kansas City’s QB. It was also nice to see Isaiah Pacheco rush for 85 yards and a TD. Travis Kelce caught 7 balls for 71 yards.

The defense bottled up Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami offense. Heading into the rematch against the Bills, Kansas City is firing on all cylinders.

Buffalo Bills Analysis

Mike Tomlin had the Pittsburgh Steelers ready to play. Even though T.J. Watt didn’t step onto the field, the Steelers played hard. The difference, though, was that Josh Allen plays for Buffalo not for Pittsburgh.

Allen threw for 3 touchdowns and rushed for a 52-yard TD in leading the Bills to a 34-17 win. Dalton Kincaid caught 3 passes for 59 yards and a TD.

Kincaid’s great outing proves that if you prevent Allen from getting the ball to Gabe Davis or Stefon Diggs, he just looks to his tight end. The fact Josh can throw to numerous players, including James Cook out of the backfield, makes Buffalo’s offense incredibly difficult to stop.

The Bills D was banged up but played well enough to hold the hot Mason Rudolph and the Pittsburgh offense to just 17 points. Buffalo will be ready for Sunday’s massive game.

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Final Betting Prediction

Even without Toney’s penalty, the Bills played the Chiefs tough in the regular season game. However, that was the regular season when Kansas City’s offense appeared stuck in quicksand.

Because Mahomes was struggling to get the ball to his wideouts, defenses found ways to disrupt Travis Kelce’s routes and always have a man on Mahomes’ favorite target.

But in the wild card win over the Fins, Patrick threw to Rashee Rice, which opened passing lanes to get the ball to Kelce. The Bills are going to have to adjust. The guess here is that the Bills won’t adjust enough.

Buffalo shows 4 defensive starters as questionable. If this matchup was during the regular season, the Bills could use their backups against Mahomes, Kelce, and the rest of the offense with success.

But this is a playoff game. Andy Reid will have the answer to Buffalo’s D on Kelce. Mahomes and his buds get it done straight up.

2024 AFC Divisional Round SU Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +125 | Bet Chiefs vs Bills
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game

The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.

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NFL Odds
MyBookie lines for the Games

Previous Betting News

How to Bet on Kansas City at New England 2016 AFC Divisional Round NFL Odds

Are the good times about to come to an end for the streaking Kansas City Chiefs? It looks like most of the sharps and NFL betting public prefer the New England Patriots for Saturday’s Divisional Round matchup at the Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, with the kickoff slated for 4:35 p.m. ET on CBS. Of course, nothing is ever guaranteed in the NFL playoffs, not even for the best of teams, so this January 16th AFC showdown should be no different. After all, this is a Kansas City team that is enjoying the best run in the franchise history, having won 11 straight games. Still, with the Patriots owning one of the best records in the NFL odds over the recent years, it is obvious that upsetting the Patriots in their own backyard won’t be easy. For more on how to bet on this game, take a look at the online NFL lines preview prepared for you below.

Our early NFL lines have the Patriots favored by 5 points over the Chiefs in the point spread. The moneylines are paying Kansas City’s bettors on a value of +195 while the Patriots sport a value of -235. If you are interested in total betting, duly note that the OVER/UNDER number is set at 42.5.

Why Bet on the Chiefs at +5 Odds

Riding on a big game from TE Travis Kelce (8 of 10 targets for 128 yards vs. the Texans), the Chiefs proved to the world that they are capable of staying efficient in the offense without the presence of their leading receiver Jeremy Maclin, who got injured in the game against Houston. The biggest winner of the day was however not Kansas City’s offense that scored 30 points, but the defense that condemned the Texans to zero points.

With the Kansas City set to face a New England offense that welcomes back a good number of its starters that got injured down the stretch of the regular season, the Chiefs D will need to continue with its swelling performances, especially in regards to getting to QB Tom Brady and his receivers. Fortunately, the Chiefs arguably have the best pass rush unit in this year’s playoffs, which should help in throttling New England’s ability to make many big plays. All that remains is for Kansas City’s offense to get things going as early as possible, given that playing catch-up to the Patriots is never an easy thing, particularly when they are playing at home.

Why Bet on the Patriots at -5 Odds

Considering that Maclin is likely to miss or be half-healthy on Saturday, the onus will be on Kelce, (second in Kansas City in targets this season with 72 of 103 caught passes for 875 yards and five TDs) to lead the aerial game, along with support from the running backs. Unluckily for the Chiefs, the Patriots allowed just 584 yards (9.9 yards per catch) to tight ends, second fewest in the NFL this season, so Kelce’s production is likely to take a beating.

Of course, the Chiefs were equally good at covering tight ends (594 yards and three TDs on 60 receptions), something that is likely to give fits to New England’s star TE Rob Gronkowski–Brady’s favorite target and New England’s leading receiver in catches, yards and touchdowns this season. Nevertheless, unlike Kelce, Gronk has posted some big numbers and had big games against such defenses this season (and in his career), so it would be hard to write him off from exploding for another big game. And even if Gronk won’t be able to shine, the speedy and now-healthy WR tandem of Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola should prove to be a handful to Kansas City’s physical cornerbacks.

Defensively, the New England’s O-line is still depleted and the D-line is also missing some key pieces, but the extra rest from the first round bye is likely to see them play in a better way than they did down the stretch. Plus, the likes of LB Dont’a Hightower and S Patrick Chung are back in the team, giving the Patriots a healthier unit to work with.

Expert Predictions and NFL Picks

With the Chiefs allowing a little over 11 PPG in their 11-game winning streak, there is no doubt that New England’s offense will have a tough time in moving the ball fluently. Nevertheless, the Patriots look more talented on the offense to be fully stopped, and the home advantage will be a big shot in the arm for them. Consequently, there is a bigger likelihood of New England emerging victorious, with the total going high, as has been the case in recent meetings between the two teams (the total as gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 6 home games against K.C).

My Predictions—Final Score: New England 25, Kansas City 18. My Free NFL Picks: New England for SU and ATS, Total OVER.