As the College Football Playoff quarterfinals heat up, our Vrbo Fiesta Bowl pick focuses on the exciting matchup between the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Boise State Broncos at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Penn State enters this game as 10.5-point favorites, with an over/under of 52.5 points, after a dominant 38-10 win over SMU. Boise State, the Mountain West champions, will look to extend their 11-game winning streak following a 21-7 victory over UNLV in the Mountain West Championship.
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2024 NCAA Division I FBS Football Season | 155th season of college football in the United States
NCAAF Bowls: Saturday, December 14th, 2024 – Monday, January 20th, 2025
Betting College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Winning Pick
The Penn State Nittany Lions face the Boise State Broncos in the College Football Playoff quarterfinals at the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl.
The game takes place on December 31 at 7:30 p.m. ET at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
Penn State enters the matchup as 10.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 52.5 points.
Penn State (12-2) reached this point after a dominant 38-10 win over SMU in the first round.
Boise State (12-1) defeated UNLV 21-7 in the Mountain West Championship to extend their winning streak to 11 games.
This game pits one of the best teams in the Big Ten against the Mountain West champions in a showdown for a CFP semifinal berth.
2024 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl: Penn State Nittany Lions (12-2) vs Boise State Broncos (12-1)
Tuesday, December 31st at 7:30 pm ET – ESPN | State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
ATS Odds: Penn State -11
SU Odds: Penn State -420 / Boise State +285
Over/Under Odds: 52.5
Writer’s Picks for the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Game
Penn State Nittany Lions Preview
Penn State enters the game with one of the most balanced teams in the nation.
Quarterback Drew Allar has had a solid season, throwing for 3,021 yards, 21 touchdowns, and seven interceptions.
While Allar struggled in the first round against SMU, he has a chance to bounce back against a Boise State defense that has shown vulnerabilities against the pass, ranking 113th nationally in passing yards allowed.
The Nittany Lions’ offense is bolstered by a strong rushing attack.
Running backs Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton combined for over 1,800 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns this season.
Penn State will look to control the tempo with its ground game while taking advantage of mismatches in Boise State’s secondary through play-action passes.
Defensively, Penn State has been exceptional.
They rank fifth in the nation in points allowed per game and are especially strong against the run, ranking sixth.
Linebacker Abdul Carter leads the way with 11 sacks, providing a consistent pass-rushing presence.
If Penn State’s defense can slow down Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty, the Nittany Lions will be in a strong position to win.
Boise State Broncos Preview
Boise State is riding an 11-game win streak and enters the Fiesta Bowl with confidence.
Quarterback Maddux Madsen has been efficient, throwing for 2,714 yards, 22 touchdowns, and just three interceptions.
He also adds mobility, with five rushing touchdowns on the NCAAF Bowl season.
His primary target, Cameron Camper, leads the team with 837 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
The Broncos’ offense revolves around running back Ashton Jeanty, who has 2,497 rushing yards and 29 touchdowns this season.
Jeanty is on the verge of breaking Barry Sanders’ single-season rushing record, needing just 131 yards to do so.
Boise State’s offensive line has paved the way for Jeanty’s success, averaging 7.3 yards per carry as a team.
Boise State excels at rushing the passer, ranking third nationally in sack rate.
Jayden Virgin-Morgan leads the team with 10 sacks, and the Broncos’ front seven will look to disrupt Penn State’s offense.
However, their struggles against the pass could be a concern, as Penn State’s Allar will have opportunities to exploit Boise State’s secondary.
Fiesta Bowl Betting Insights
Penn State is 10.5-point favorites, reflecting their balanced roster and strong defensive performance throughout the season.
Boise State, however, has proven their ability to keep games close, particularly against top opponents like Oregon, who they lost to by just three points.
The over/under of 52.5 points suggests a moderately high-scoring game, with both teams having explosive offensive playmakers.
Penn State’s defense will be tested by Jeanty’s running ability, while Boise State must contend with a balanced Nittany Lions attack.
The game’s outcome could hinge on whether Penn State can contain Jeanty and force Boise State to rely on Madsen’s arm.
Conversely, Boise State must find ways to pressure Allar and create turnovers to pull off the upset.
Betting Final Fiesta Bowl Pick for the Game
Penn State’s combination of a strong defense and a balanced offensive attack gives them the edge in this matchup.
Boise State will likely find success on the ground with Jeanty, but Penn State’s ability to control the game through their rushing attack and take advantage of Boise State’s defensive weaknesses in the secondary will prove decisive.
Boise State has the tools to keep the game close, especially if Jeanty has another standout performance.
However, Penn State’s experience and depth, along with their defensive dominance, should secure their path to the CFP semifinals.
NCAAF Bowl ATS Pick: Penn State -11
NCAAF Bowl Total Pick: Under 52.5
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^ Top^ TopThat was too easy. @PennStateFball blasts @SMUFB 38-10. Will play @BroncoSportsFB in the Fiesta Bowl. #CollegeFootball #NCAAF #cfpplayoff https://t.co/laNvW82W6E
— CollegeFootballPoll.com (@cfpoll) December 21, 2024
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Who Will Reign Supreme? 2025 College Football National Championship Odds Revealed!
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Ohio State Buckeyes | -370 |
Texas Longhorns | +285 |
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What is the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl? Let’s Find Out
The Fiesta Bowl is one of the most prestigious and historic college football bowl games in the United States.
It is traditionally held in Glendale, Arizona, at State Farm Stadium (formerly known as University of Phoenix Stadium) and has been a prominent part of the college football postseason since its inception in 1971.
Key Details About the Fiesta Bowl:
-
History and Significance:
The Fiesta Bowl was first played in 1971 and quickly became one of the premier bowl games in college football.
It was originally created as a way to showcase the Western United States’ top college teams, but it has since grown to include teams from across the country.
The bowl is typically associated with top teams from major conferences, including the Big 12, Pac-12, SEC, and Big Ten. -
Role in the College Football Playoff (CFP):
Since the College Football Playoff (CFP) system was introduced in 2014, the Fiesta Bowl has become one of the New Year’s Six bowls, which are the highest-profile games outside of the College Football Playoff semifinals and the national championship game.
In the 12-team playoff format (starting in 2024), the Fiesta Bowl serves as one of the quarterfinal games, helping determine which teams will advance to the CFP semifinals and ultimately compete for the national championship. -
Location:
The Fiesta Bowl is played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, a state-of-the-art venue with a retractable roof and one of the most innovative designs in college football stadiums.
It has hosted several important games, including Super Bowls and major college football events. -
Teams and Matchups:
Over the years, the Fiesta Bowl has featured some of the best teams in college football, often pairing up high-ranking Power 5 teams from different conferences.
The bowl is known for its competitive matchups, with many of its games impacting the College Football Playoff rankings.
In recent years, it has been a staple of the playoff rotation, with two of the top-ranked teams playing in the Fiesta Bowl during the New Year’s Six games. -
Notable Past Games:
Some of the most memorable games in Fiesta Bowl history include Florida State’s dramatic win over Notre Dame in 1991, Boise State’s iconic victory over Oklahoma in 2007, and Oregon’s impressive performance against Kansas State in 2013.
The Fiesta Bowl often features exciting and high-scoring contests, with many games going down to the wire. -
Fiesta Bowl Legacy and Impact:
Beyond just being a premier football game, the Fiesta Bowl has a rich tradition of giving back to the community and promoting college football.
It has been known for its charitable efforts and its role in supporting college football’s growth, especially in the western United States.
Current Status:
The Fiesta Bowl continues to be one of the most-watched and talked-about bowl games, drawing significant attention from college football fans, alumni, and bettors. As part of the New Year’s Six rotation and now included in the expanded 12-team playoff system, it remains a focal point for fans and for betting on college football.
For college football fans looking to place bets on the Fiesta Bowl or stay updated on odds and matchups, the bowl offers ample opportunity to get in on the action, especially as it hosts exciting playoff matchups in the coming years.
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2024 Fiesta Bowl Odds: Liberty vs Oregon Betting Pick
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From State Farm Stadium in Glendale Arizona, The VRBO Fiesta Bowl will take place on New Year’s Day. The Liberty Flames are set to take on the Oregon Ducks in a College Football finale for both teams. The Liberty Flames come into the game as the winner of Conference USA. Liberty won all 13 games during the season. The Conference USA title game saw them beat New Mexico State 49-35.
For the Oregon Ducks, they are 11-2 on the season. The Ducks lost in their season finale; which was the Pac-12 title game to Washington. Both losses this season were against the Washington Huskies. The Oregon Ducks are a massive favorite in this game. Oregon is -17 over Liberty.
The Oregon Ducks are the favorites in the college football lines in this game as they are listed at -17, this leaves Liberty as a massive underdog. The total for this affair is set at 67.5 points.
2023 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Odds: Liberty vs Oregon | MyBookie Bowl Game Preview
Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks
ATS Odds: Oregon -17
Money line Odds: Liberty Line +900 / Oregon Line -575
Over/Under Odds: 67.5
Monday, January 1st, 2023 at 1:00 pm ET | ESPN
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
One More Game
Bo Nix is going to play in this game for the Oregon Ducks. Nix will play his final college game under center before heading into the NFL Draft. Nix was one of the candidates for the Heisman this season with over 4,100 passing yards and 40 touchdowns on the season. He will have Bucky Irving, who was his top running back all season.
Irving rushed for 1,063 yards and 10 touchdowns on the season. The Ducks on the season scored 44.2 points per game, and their passing game ranked 2nd with 342 yards per game. The rushing attack was in the Top 30 with more than 184 per game.
The Oregon Ducks are going to be without one of their top receivers in Troy Franklin, and also running back Noah Whittington. Franklin caught 81 passes for 1,383 yards and 14 touchdowns on the season. He is heading into the NFL Draft. Whittington was second on the team to Bucky Irving in rushing, he is out with a foot injury.
Flames Looking for 14th Straight
The Liberty Flames will face a tough test to get their 14th straight win. The Flames have scored 38 points or more in seven straight games. On the season, Liberty scored 40.8 points per game. The rushing attack for Liberty ranked at the very top of the College Football statistics.
Quinton Cooley was the man for the Flames during the regular season. Cooley rushed 213 times for 1,322 yards and 16 touchdowns. In the Conference USA title game, Cooley rushed 11 times for 71 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Quarterback Kaidon Salter was good for the Flames this season throwing 31 touchdowns. His top target was CJ Daniels, who caught 7 passes for 157 yards and a touchdown in that same game. The Flames appear to be a team with many of their offensive weapons for their bowl game.
Fun Season Finale
This should be a fun game in Arizona. Oregon should have a bigger crowd, but Liberty has a chance to do something really special. A team like Liberty getting a chance to run the table on the season does not happen very often. Oregon is going to be missing a lot of tools in this game. But, Bo Nix is enough to win the game.
The problem though, the spread is too many points. Liberty is a team that will go eye to eye with the Ducks. Look for ao ne score game when push comes to shove here. The final bet for this game is the Liberty Flames +17 over the Oregon Ducks!
NCAAF Fiesta Bowl: ATS Liberty Flames +17 | Bet Liberty vs Oregon Today
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Michigan Comes In as the Betting Favorite, Can They Win the Fiesta Bowl?
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Michigan Comes In as the Betting Favorite, Can They Win the Fiesta Bowl?
Michigan steps onto the field at State Farm Stadium in Glendale hoping to secure a victory over Big 12 runner-up TCU and stamp their ticket to the National Championship. Michigan opened a -10 chalk but has since fallen to -7.5. Is that a sign the Wolverines are due for a letdown? Or will the Maize & Blue find a way to make it to the title contest while also covering? Keep reading for College Football Bowl Odds, analysis, and a free pick for the 2022 Fiesta Bowl.
2022 Fiesta Bowl Betting Lines: Michigan Wolverines vs TCU Horned Frogs Match Info
- When: Saturday, Dec. 31 at 4:00 pm ET
- Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
- TV / Streaming: ESPN/ESPN+
- ATS Odds: Michigan -7.5
- Money line Odds: TCU +238 / Michigan -309
- Over/Under Odds: 58.5
Why bet on Michigan versus TCU?
For the second straight time, Jim Harbaugh’s crew went undefeated during the regular season. The Wolverines not only blasted rival Ohio State but also beat up Purdue in the Big Ten title match.
Michigan’s defense ranked third in total yards allowed and fifth in points allowed per game. On offense, quarterback JJ McCarthy solidified his starter’s role. Michigan is loaded and is the deserving favorite to beat a lucky TCU side.
Why bet on Michigan versus TCU?
Two words and one name, Max Duggan. The Texas Christian signal-caller is an unbelievable player. Duggan is magic on the field.
He’ll do whatever it takes to lead the TCU Horned Frogs to a win. Max will run the ball, pass it, find the open receiver, whatever is required. It helps Duggan’s game that he can throw to the top wideout in the nation, Kendre Miller.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines Final Betting Prediction
Michigan dominated Ohio State, which is one of the reasons so many people believe the Wolverines easily dispatch of the Horned Frogs. But a quick review of Michigan’s contest against their top rivals paints a different picture.
The Buckeyes tried to shut down the Wolverines’ offense. TCU knows they don’t have a great defense. So the Frogs will play bend but don’t break and hope to hold the Maize & Blue to field goals.
Michigan’s defense is great, but it allowed a one-dimensional Ohio State team to pass for 349 yards. Purdue quarterback Aidan O’Connell thew for 366 yards. Duggan should have a lot of success getting the ball to Miller.
The falling spread line suggests the above analysis is correct. TCU may not win this game, but they’re going to make it desperately close. The Frogs are the play against the spread.
NCAAF Fiesta Bowl Pick: TCU Horned Frogs +7.5
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