When it comes to the NFL preseason betting strategy, we normally categorize the participants into two groups. First, we have bettors who take no part in the sport as they are not ready or willing to risk their money on teams full of players who might not even feature in the league the moment the regular season kicks off. The second group, is where we find the risk takers who are confident that sound analysis of the NFL preseason betting strategy could provide a couple of profitable betting opportunities. Most of the times, majority of the coaches will communicate the time period they intend to field their starters, while others have already made their decision regarding the important position of the quarterback. Therefore, a team that is playing an NFL pro in the fourth quarter already has an advantage over one that is fielding a free agent.
Here are seven things to look at if you wish to be part of the school of thought that put their money on these teams:
The Trends
No matter which subscription you choose in the NFL preseason betting strategy, it is important that you look at what happened in the previous seasons. As much as past trends don’t entirely predict how teams will perform in the current season, they always have a story to tell, which may influence your decision. The reversal trends to observe are the rate at which underdogs managed to cover the point spread or how the favorites covered the number. Taking a look at these tactics will prove to be a wise decision.
Favorites VS Underdogs
From 2008 to 2011, favorites were usually poor bets as the number of times they proved their worth translated to only 45.7% as they went 112-133-12 against the number. However, for the seasons that followed from 2012 to date, they have been impressive going 104-86-4, which translates to 54.7%. You may also want to look at the performance of home underdogs as their statistics might tell an entirely different story.
Weekly Results
Most people make the mistake of looking at the preseason betting as a whole. The best way to go about it, is analyzing the teams individually and their week by week performances to get a clear picture of how their season was. It can also be misleading to look at the season as a whole when analyzing the underdogs of six points or more. A bettor who manages to break down the preseason into individual weeks stands a greater chance of winning than one who doesn’t.
The Sitting Starters
Different coaches have different trends that they follow in the NFL preseason. Often, most starters don’t play a lot in the opening week of the preseason, although they at times feature in the second week. Most of the coaches see week 3 as an opportunity to tune-up the starters who will play for the first half of the game only. However, they are not played in the fourth game, something which has an effect on the tendencies of the point spread.
The Totals
Checking the totals in the NFL preseason betting strategy is also another important thing. You will discover that, most of the times, the totals that are posted for the preseason are much lower, 36-39 mostly. This is because most of the players in the offensive line are preserved to avoid injury and fatigue. You can get info on which teams will be sitting their starters and you can build your betting strategy around this information.
The Teasers
Since the preseason games have low points, teasers become even more valuable. If you place a bet on a 6 point teaser, in a game that has a total of 6, then these 6 points become more valuable than they would have been in a game that has a total of 50 or more.
Game Selection
If you choose to bet in the preseason, you must be selective on the teams that you choose. Most of the results in these games are mere luck making them a crap shoot. However, there may be a couple of games where you can find a competitive edge by looking at past trends, coaches decisions, line movement and so on. The bettors who take their time to look at the various influencing factors will likely make better decisions than those who just bet because it is the NFL.
Don’t miss out the Sports Betting Guide that MyBookie has for your NFL betting:
NFL General Guide
- Understanding The 10 Commandments Of NFL Betting
- Introduction to Margin Betting
- NFL Arbitrage Betting Explained
- A Quick History of NFL Betting
- Pertinent Rules of Football Betting
- Possible Reasons Behind An NFL Losing Streak
- Use NFL Weather Reports To Increase Your Sports Betting Bankroll
- Sports Betting Optimal Scenarios to Bet On NFL
- NFL Betting Ideas That Will Make Any Party Interesting
- NFL Betting Teaser Explained
- NFL Betting Guidebook: Five ‘D’s’ for Successful Betting
- Whether the Weather is a Factor in NFL Sports Betting
- Sports Betting Guide: Parlay Betting and NFL
- Advantages of Using Online Sportsbooks for NFL Bettors
- Understanding Line Movement in Online NFL Betting
- How Moneyline Betting Works in the NFL
- Sports Betting: 10 Factors to Consider When Looking at NFL Lines
- Best and Worst Value Super Bowl 51 Betting Picks
NFL Tips
- 5 Betting Tips That Will Get You Ready For The NFL Season
- Tips on How to Bet Teams with Lousy Season Starts
- Winning Tips For NFL Postseason Value Betting
- Expert Tips for Betting on the First Weeks of NFL
- Usefull Tips for NFL Offseason Betting
- Sports Betting Tips To Make the Most Out Of NFL Underdogs
- Picking NFL Road Favorites
- 7 NFL Betting Tips for a Successful Bettor
- 7 Tips That Gambling Pros Use to Win When Betting on NFL
NFL Strategies
- Sportsbetting Strategies: NFL Sharp Money Explained
- Popular NFL Betting Strategies & Theories
- Best Betting Strategies on the NFL Preseason
- Get Your NFL Preseason Betting Strategy Ready Now!
- Optimal Strategy To Bet Teams On A Losing Skid
- NFL Bye Week Expert Betting Strategy
- NFL Bye Week Betting Strategy
- Bye Week NFL Betting Strategy
NFL Handicap
- NFL Betting Tips on How to Handicap Fading Teams
- NFL Handicapping Betting Basics on The Weather
- How Home Field Advantage Affects the NFL Handicapping
- Basic NFL Point Spread Handicapping Strategies
- Important Betting Tips On Handicapping The NFL Season’s 2nd Half
- Handicapping Football Turnovers
- How to Recognize and Handicap Key NFL Betting Numbers