We are at the stage of the Premier League season where titles are often won and lost.
This is not to suggest that we will know the champion by the end of January, but the picture will be a good deal clearer than it is right now.
Premier League Odds Matchday 21 Analysis
At the moment, Liverpool is the team to beat, but that could well change depending on the result of their upcoming game, which will be part of this preview.
That said, the teams that are chasing them are all going through little slumps, which Liverpool has not done yet.
There is a chance that the slump will come for the current leaders, but if they can continue to open their lead at the top, that slump in form might not be totally damaging.
All that said, we have a ton of great midweek games coming our way, so let’s take a look at a few that we really like.
Chelsea -185 vs Bournemouth +410 (Draw +350)
EPL Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth
EPL Betting Spread: Chelsea -1.5 (O/U 3.5)
When: Tuesday, January 14, 2025, 1:30 PM
The great thing about the Premier League is that there are all kinds of battles going on outside of the race for the title. The biggest of those other battles is the race for the top 4 spots, with the teams landing there making it into the Champions League. When you consider the money that comes with a spot in that tournament, the pressure to land in the top 4 is huge.
Chelsea looked like the team most likely to challenge Liverpool this season, but picking up just 2 points from their last 4 games has seen them drop all the way down to 4th. Bournemouth is unbeaten in their last 5 games, winning 2 and drawing 3. That run means that they are in 7th but just 3 points behind Chelsea. It goes without saying that this game is massive.
^Nottingham Forest +380 vs Liverpool -161 (Draw +300)
EPL Prediction: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool
EPL Betting Spread: Liverpool -0.5 (O/U 2.5)
When: Tuesday, January 14, 2025, 1:30 PM
This is, without a doubt, the biggest game in the midweek schedule, as this one will have a definite impact on the title race. Nottingham Forest was engaged in a relegation battle last season, so the expectation was that this might be another long season, but they have done a massive U-turn and are now very much in the championship conversation.
They have won 6 in a row in the EPL to move all the way up to 3rd place, as well as winning again in the FA Cup this past weekend. As mentioned at the top of this piece, Liverpool is the team to catch at the moment, sitting at the top of the table on 46 points, 6 clear of Forest, with a game in hand still to come. I have a feeling that this one could be a tight battle, but I like Liverpool to edge it.
^Everton +214 vs Aston Villa +131 (Draw +216)
EPL Prediction: Everton 1-3 Aston Villa
EPL Betting Spread: Aston Villa -0.5 (O/U 2.5)
When: Wednesday, January 15, 2025, 1:30 PM
On the face of it, this does not appear to be one of the best games on the midweek schedule, but there is a storyline that elevates it into must watch territory. That story is with Everton, who find themselves at the wrong end of the table, coming into this one on the heels of 2 straight losses. They decided it was time to make a change at the manager position, bringing back David Moyes for his 2nd stint at the club.
Will that be enough for Everton to have a new manager bounce? Villa is sitting in 8th place right now, but they are also just 4 points out of the top 4, so a win here could potentially move them a little closer. They are coming off a 2-1 win over Leicester, another team near the bottom, so expect a similar result here.
^Premier League Odds Matchday 21 provided by MyBookie
Arsenal -255 vs Tottenham +550 (Draw +410)
EPL Prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Tottenham
EPL Betting Spread: Arsenal -1.5 (O/U 3.5)
When: Wednesday, January 15, 2025, 2:00 PM
This is always a fixture that draws a ton of attention, but given how things are going this season, the spotlight on this game is even brighter. Both of these teams have fan bases that are growing more and more disillusioned with their current managers, so the outcome of this one has the potential to make the hot seat that much warner for both.
Arsenal is still in 2nd place in the league, but they have been slipping and are coming off a loss to Manchester United in the FA Cup. Tottenham’s league form has been rather dire over the past couple of months, plus they needed extra time to get past non-league Tamworth in the FA Cup this past weekend. An important game for both teams.
^Future Bets and Props for the Premier League Odds Matchday 21
Outside of the individual games, there are a lot of things to wager on in the English Premier League, starting of course with picking the potential champion. Liverpool is in the driver’s seat right now, which means there is not a ton of value, unless you decide to go with one of the chasing teams.
Here are the title odds as they look now:
- Liverpool (-626)
- Arsenal (+350)
- Manchester City (+1725)
- Nottingham Forest (+2100)
There is also the relegation battle to consider, with 3 teams set to make the drop to the Championship at the end of this season.
Southampton already looks to be heading for the drop, so here are the odds for some of the other teams near the drop zone:
- Leicester (-676)
- Ipswich (-212)
- Wolves (-104)
- Everton (+148)
Besides team wagers, you can also get in on some individual player props, starting with picking the top scorer in the Premier League. Mo Salah is the man to catch right now, but I would keep an eye on Alexander Isak, who is on an absolute tear at the moment.
Here are the current odds for the top scorer in the English Premier League this season:
- Mo Salah (-105)
- Erling Haaland (+174)
- Alexander Isak (+1000)
- Cole Palmer (+1575)
Premier League Winner Odds: Top 10 teams EPL Football Odds
- Liverpool -526
- Arsenal +350
- Manchester City +1725
- Nottingham Forest +3100
- Chelsea +3900
- Newcastle +10000
- Aston Villa +38000
- Bournemouth +75000
- Man U +100000
- Tottenham +100000
Stop what you're doing and watch these great goals from Matchweek 20 🍿
— Premier League (@premierleague) January 9, 2025
Presented by Guinness pic.twitter.com/S2C15pQOHH
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2023 Premier League Matchday 21
Liverpool versus Chelsea and Arsenal hosting Manchester United in London headline English Premier League Matchweek 21 action. Both Pool and the Blues will enter their match without top players. Arsenal must beat Man U without Gabriel Jesus. See below for Premier League Odds, analysis, and free picks for those two matches as well as four other EPL matches happening this weekend.
2022-23 EPL Games to Must Bet and Watch this Weekend (Jan. 21st – 22nd)
Liverpool -121 vs Chelsea +310
- When: Saturday, Jan. 21 at 7:30 am ET
The Reds take on the Blues a game after Harvey Elliott made a stunning goal to give Liverpool a 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton in an FA Cup match. Pool is not one-hundred percent healthy, but Mohamed Salah should play.
Salah will be the difference. One of the top strikers in the Premier, Salah took a seat in the FA Cup victory. If Mohamed steps onto the pitch, watch out. The Blues are not a good road team and Eduardo Mendy is injured.
Soccer Pick: Liverpool -121
Leicester City +242 vs Brighton & Hove Albion +109
- When: Saturday, Jan. 21 at 10:00 am ET
Things are so bad for Leicester that the home team is an underdog versus Brighton. Last season, LC would have been the big time chalk, possibly, even by 1.5 goals. Leicester has a win and 4 losses in their last 5.
Brighton is on a 3-match winning streak and has won 4-of-5. The home team could surprise but the road squad is playing too well to lose.
Soccer Pick: Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace +320 vs Newcastle United -111
- When: Saturday, Jan. 21 at 12:30 pm ET
The road team could be very tough in this. After a couple of draws and an inexplicable FA Cup match loss to Sheffield Wednesday, Newcastle has won 2 straight in a 2-0 contest against Leicester and a 1-0 win over Fulham.
Crystal Palace had lost 3 straight. But Crystal forced a draw in their last match versus Manchester United. If there form has turned around, Palace can pull off the upset. The odds make Crystal an overlay.
Soccer Pick: Crystal Palace
Leeds United +141 vs Brentford +184
- When: Sunday, Jan. 22 at 9:00 am ET
Leeds has a slight edge because they’re the home team. But although Leeds is the chalk and takes on Brentford on their pitch, the road squad deserves a long look.
Brentford has won 3-of-4. 1 of the victories was a 3-1 win over Liverpool. The road team shouldn’t offer odds anywhere close to the current line. The dog gets the nod.
Soccer Pick: Brentford
Manchester City -2.5 +139 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers +2.5 -177
- When: Sunday, Jan. 22 at 9:00 am ET
Manchester City is on a 2-match losing streak. But although City isn’t at their best, the Sky Blues are tough to go against because Wolverhampton isn’t playing well.
Almost as important? The odds make Wolverhampton an underlay. Backing the Sky Blues to get it together makes sense.
Soccer Pick: Manchester City -2.5
Arsenal -114 vs Manchester United +295
- When: Sunday, Jan. 22 at 11:30 am ET
On the surface, the Gunners should take this. Arsenal has an 8-point lead over both the Sky Blues and the Red Devils.
But a closer look reveals that Man United can pull off the upset win. Since parting ways with Ronaldo, United has rocked. To put matters more in their favor, Jadon Sancho should return to the pitch to help Marcus Rashford and Bruno Fernandes on the attack. United gets the call.
Soccer Pick: Manchester United
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