Three weeks into the season is not usually a time for teams to start pressing the panic button, but it is a time to get concerned if things are not going to plan.
Over the years, we have all seen how difficult it is to make the playoffs for teams that lose their first 2 or 3 games.
My NFL Betting Analysis in the Week 4
It’s certainly not a start that a team can’t recover from, but the margin for error gets slimmer and slimmer with each loss.
On the flipside, teams that get off to a good start will be well aware that they cannot take their foot off the gas, especially when going against teams that are beginning to slip into desperation mode.
We have a game like that this weekend, with the struggling Jacksonville Jaguars hitting the road to face the Houston Texans, a team on the rise.
Houston is favored by 6, with the point total set at 44 ½.
^Jacksonville Jaguars Odds +212
Thursday Injury Report pic.twitter.com/BguCmo9W0U
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 26, 2024
When the Jacksonville Jaguars drafted Trevor Lawrence a few years back, they believed, as did most football fans, that they had nabbed their QB of the future.
While Lawrence has had his moments, he has not come close to hitting the heights that most pundits expected he would.
In fact, there are now murmurings that it might be time for Lawrence to spend some time on the bench, but I’m not sure we will see that happen just yet.
The harsh reality, though, is that the Jaguars are 0-3 and in real danger of losing again this weekend.
With this start, the Jas are now just 1-8 SU in their last 9 games, as well as being winless in their last 5 road trips.
They have been a pretty awful spread bet, too, covering just twice in their last 9 games.
6 of the last 7 games road games against Houston have gone UNDER the point total.
^Houston Texans Odds -270
The Texans are a similar story to the Jaguars in that they believed they landed their QB of the future when they drafted CJ Stroud.
The major difference is that Stroud made an immediate impact, leading his team to the playoffs in his rookie season last year.
Through the opening 2 games of the season, the Texans continued to roll, but they ran into a brick wall last weekend, losing 34-7 to the surprising Minnesota Vikings.
Houston will be back home this Sunday, which is sure to be good news for a team that is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played at home.
They have dominated Jacksonville, too, winning 10 of their last 12 versus the Jags overall.
While the wins are coming, Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in the month of September.
4 of their last 5 divisional games have gone UNDER the point total.
^Houston #Texans Thursday Injury Report for Week 4 vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars: pic.twitter.com/8RF9BDwhts
— Houston Texans PR (@TexansPR) September 26, 2024
Jaguars vs Texans Betting Prediction
The Jaguars are drifting into desperation mode right now, with that panic button looming large.
I think they could be in trouble once again versus a Houston team looking to make amends for a poor showing last weekend.
Jacksonville Jaguars 13, Houston Texans 30
^Jaguars vs Texans Info
Date & Time: Sunday, September 29 at 1 PM EST
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
TV: CBS
Jaguars vs Texans Standings in the AFC South
| AFC SOUTH | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | T | % | PF | PA | Home | Road | Strk |
| Texans | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 55 | 74 | 1-0-0 | 1-1-0 | 1L |
| Colts | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 58 | 51 | 1-1-0 | 0-1-0 | 1W |
| Jaguars | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 40 | 85 | 0-1-0 | 0-2-0 | 3L |
| Titans | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 48 | 78 | 0-2-0 | 0-1-0 | 3L |
W: Games Won | L: Missed Matches | T: Tied Matches | %: Percentage Victories | PF: Total Points For | PA: Total Points Against | HOME: Home Record | ROAD: Road Record | Strk: Streak
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2023 Jaguars vs. Texans, Week 12
The Jacksonville Jaguars take on the rival Texans in Houston on Sunday in a game that will go a long way in determining which team wins the AFC South. The Jags are 7-3 while the Texans are 6-4. Both teams boast a couple of strong quarterbacks, Trevor Lawrence for Jacksonville, and Houston rookie C.J. Stroud.
Which QB leads his team to victory?
MyBookie offers the NFL odds, game analysis, and betting pick for the Jacksonville Jaguars versus the Houston Texans which are playing on Week 12 of the NFL season.
Jaguars vs Texans Odds and Betting Prediction for this Week 12 Matchup | MyBookie NFL Regular Season Preview
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans | NFL Week 12
ATS Odds: Jaguars -1.5
Money line Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars Line: -125 / Houston Texans Line: +105
Over/Under Odds: 47.5
Sunday, November 26th, 2023 at 1:00 pm ET | CBS
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Why Bet on Jacksonville versus Houston
The Jaguars are rolling. Jacksonville has won 6-of-7. In many of the games, the Jags didn’t just win, they dominated.
The road team in this beat the Colts 37-20 and the Tennessee Titans in their last 37-13. Although the loss to San Francisco was difficult to watch, Jacksonville beat the Titans a week after the 34-3 loss against.
The Jaguars have answered the bell for almost every round this season. There’s no reason to believe they don’t answer the bell on Sunday.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 334.1
- Passing Yards: 225.4
- Rushing Yards: 108.7
- Points Scored: 23.0
- Turnovers: 17
Jacksonville Jaguars Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 341.4
- Passing Yards: 254.4
- Rushing Yards: 87.0
- Points Scored: 20.4
- Turnovers: 19
Why Bet on Houston versus Jacksonville
The Texans blasted Jacksonville 37-17 in the first matchup. The game happened in Jacksonville. Also, the matchup was Houston’s third game of the season.
The Texans are a much better team now than they were then. Houston has won five games since beating Jacksonville in the first head-to-head game. In addition, the Texans have won their last 3, including beating the Bengals 30-27 on the road in a game where Joe Burrow played.
Houston Texans Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 377.2
- Passing Yards: 277.7
- Rushing Yards: 99.5
- Points Scored: 23.8
- Turnovers: 11
Houston Texans Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 337.9
- Passing Yards: 241.4
- Rushing Yards: 96.5
- Points Scored: 20.8
- Turnovers: 12
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Final Betting Prediction
This should be a good game, but the Jaguars have a problem that coach Doug Pederson has yet to solve. Jacksonville forces a lot of turnovers, 19 on the season, but the turnover differential is just 2.
Lawrence and his mates have turned the ball over 17 times. Also, Houston absolutely dominated the Jags in the first matchup and rematch happens in Houston.
For sure, Jacksonville can win this. But the Jags shouldn’t be the favorite. Houston scores the slight upset victory.
2023 NFL SNF Pick: SU Houston Texans +105 | Bet Jaguars vs Texans
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Game
Jacksonville Jaguars Team
7-3 | 4-0 Away
Jacksonville Jaguars Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 11/19/23 | vs TEN | W34-14 |
| 11/12/23 | vs SF | L34-3 |
| 11/5/23 | @ PIT | W20-10 |
| 10/19/23 | @ NO | W31-24 |
| 10/15/23 | vs IND | W37-20 |
Jacksonville Jaguars Injury Report
| Name | Position | Status | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Zay Jones WR | Questionable | Nov 23 |
| Roy Robertson-Harris DE | Questionable | Nov 22 |
| Tyson Campbell CB | Questionable | Nov 21 |
| – | ||
| – |
Houston Texans Team
6-4 | 4-1 Home
Houston Texans Last 5
| Date | OPP | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 11/19/23 | vs ARI | W21-16 |
| 11/12/23 | @ CIN | W30-27 |
| 10/29/23 | vs TB | W39-37 |
| 10/29/23 | @ CAR | L15-13 |
| 10/15/23 | vs NO | W20-13 |
Houston Texans Injury Report
| Name | Position | Status | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Brown WR | Questionable | Nov 23 |
| Dylan Horton DE | NFI-R | Nov 23 |
| Juice Scruggs C | IR-R | Nov 22 |
| Henry To’oTo’o LB | Questionable | Nov 22 |
| Case Keenum QB | Questionable | Nov 22 |
2023 NFL Standings up to Week 12
AFC North Standings | Jacksonville Jaguars
| Team | W | L | PCT | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 3 | .727 | W1 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 3 | .700 | W3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 4 | .600 | L1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 5 | .500 | L3 |
AFC West Standings | Houston Texans
| Team | W | L | PCT | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 3 | .700 | L1 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 5 | .500 | W4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 6 | .455 | L1 |
| Houston Texans | 4 | 6 | .400 | L2 |
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Betting Trends
- Jacksonville are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston.
- Jacksonville are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.
- Jacksonville are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games played in November.
- Houston are 5-14-1 SU in their last 20 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville.
- Houston are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Houston are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston’s last 17 games played in November.
- Houston are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played on a Sunday.
The following NFL betting lines are based on MyBookie Sportsbook.
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