As the NCAAF season progresses, the picture for the College Football Playoff (CFP) becomes clearer, presenting exciting opportunities for online college football bets. With each week bringing its own surprises, it’s crucial to analyze which teams are positioned to secure a playoff spot and which ones are likely to fall short.
In this article, we’ll break down the leading contenders and potential dark horses, considering factors such as team performance, strength of schedule, and injury reports. Whether you’re rooting for a powerhouse or hoping for an underdog story, understanding the dynamics of the playoff race will enhance your betting strategy.
College Football Playoff Teams That Will and Won’t Make It
Must-Read: Expert Analysis Points to the Biggest Snubs and Surprises in the College Football Playoff Race
2024 NCAA Division I FBS Football Season | 155th season of college football in the United States
Week 10: Tuesday, October 29th – Saturday, November 2nd, 2024
Betting College Football Week 10 Games
The college football playoff picture becomes clearer as the NCAAF season progresses, but surprises are always possible.
With the first-ever 12-team format starting soon, the stakes are higher, and more teams believe they have a shot.
Below, we break down the teams likely to make the College Football Playoff (CFP) and those on the outside looking in.
Writer’s Picks for Teams Making the Playoffs
Teams That Are Virtual Locks
Teams like Oregon, Georgia, and Ohio State have set themselves up as locks for the playoff.
Oregon’s dominance and a relatively favorable schedule keep them at the top of sportsbooks’ odds.
Georgia and Ohio State have maintained their positions through consistent performances in tough conferences.
These teams control their destinies and are likely to earn either a first-round bye or a top seed.
Teams in Good Shape but Need to Avoid Slip-Ups
Penn State, Texas, and Miami fall into this category.
Each has one or fewer losses and is performing well in their conferences, but one misstep could put them in danger of losing ground.
Texas, in particular, needs to keep winning, as a tough Big 12 schedule could throw a wrench into their plans.
Miami’s CFP hopes hinge on finishing strong in the ACC and avoiding upsets against lesser opponents.
For these teams, maintaining focus each week is critical.
One poorly executed game could ruin playoff hopes, especially with competitive conference championships ahead.
Penn State has a favorable path but must survive late-season games against rival teams.
Texas needs to manage its offense carefully with challenging matchups still ahead, and Miami must avoid trap games that could derail its progress.
Teams on the Bubble
Clemson, Tennessee, and Notre Dame are talented teams with playoff potential, but their margins for error are thin.
Each has suffered losses that complicate their playoff paths.
For these teams, winning out and hoping for key losses by others is essential.
Clemson’s game against North Carolina could define its season, while Notre Dame needs to stay sharp against non-conference foes.
Teams Facing Long Odds
LSU, Alabama, and Washington State are on the outside looking in.
Each of these programs has multiple losses, making it difficult to break into the crowded playoff field.
While a late-season surge could put them in contention, they’ll need help in the form of losses from other top teams.
Alabama and LSU especially need to run the table and make a statement in the SEC Championship to have a shot.
The expanded format slightly increases their chances, but each additional loss further complicates the path.
For Alabama, a turnaround in their passing game will be key, while LSU’s defense needs to step up if it hopes to stay competitive.
Washington State, an unlikely contender, must win out and hope the committee values its quality wins.
Sleeper Teams to Watch
Iowa State, BYU, and Boise State are not traditional CFP contenders, but the expanded playoff format opens new doors.
Each of these teams has performed well and holds a chance to sneak into the field, especially if conference champions like Boise State secure automatic bids.
For these teams, staying focused and finishing strong will be key as they hope to capitalize on the new playoff structure.
The new format gives smaller schools and mid-major programs an unprecedented opportunity to compete at the highest level.
If Boise State wins the Mountain West and stays in the top 12, it could earn a playoff spot.
Iowa State and BYU are also in the mix, but they’ll need statement wins in the coming weeks to bolster their cases.
These teams will need the committee to reward conference titles and strength of schedule fairly to earn their way in.
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MyBookie offers the current College Football betting lines for the NCAAF season to win.
Who Will Reign Supreme? 2024 College Football National Championship Odds Revealed!
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ohio State Buckeyes | +330 |
| Georgia Bulldogs | +350 |
| Oregon Ducks | +430 |
| Texas Longhorns | +540 |
| Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +1200 |
| Tennessee Volunteers | +1625 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +1650 |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | +2100 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +3200 |
| Ole Miss Rebels | +3200 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | +3500 |
| LSU Tigers | +4300 |
| Clemson Tigers | +5200 |
| SMU Mustangs | +6600 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | +8000 |
| Boise State Broncos | +10000 |
| BYU Cougars | +11000 |
| Iowa State Cyclones | +12000 |
| Colorado Buffaloes | +13000 |
| Kansas State Wildcats | +24000 |
| Louisville Cardinals | +42000 |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | +46000 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | +50000 |
| Army Black Knights | +50000 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | +50000 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | +65000 |
| Missouri Tigers | +65000 |
| Michigan Wolverines | +70000 |
| Tulane Green Waves | +75000 |
| Washington State Cougars | +75000 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | +75000 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | +80000 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats | +80000 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | +80000 |
| UNLV Rebels | +85000 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers | +90000 |
| Syracuse Orange | +100000 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +100000 |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns | +100000 |
| Rest of the Field | +100000 or higher |
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Can you Bet on Which College Football Teams will Make the Playoffs? Let’s Find Out
Yes, you can bet on which college football teams will make the playoffs!
Many sportsbooks like MyBookie offer odds on a variety of futures bets, including which teams are likely to qualify for the College Football Playoff (CFP).
These bets are often available throughout the season, allowing bettors to wager on teams as their performance evolves.
When placing these bets, it’s essential to consider several factors:
-
Team Performance:
Analyze how teams have been performing in their games, including their win-loss record, offensive and defensive statistics, and recent matchups. -
Strength of Schedule:
Teams that face tougher opponents may have a more challenging path to the playoffs, impacting their odds. -
Injury Reports:
Key injuries can significantly affect a team’s performance, so staying updated on player health is crucial. -
Expert Analysis:
Following expert opinions and analysis can provide valuable insights into which teams are trending towards playoff contention.
For the latest updates and expert insights on college football betting, be sure to check our College Football News section, where you’ll find information to help you make informed wagers and navigate the exciting world of college football futures!
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Top Teams That Won’t Make It to the College Football Playoff 2024
Previous Betting News
College football playoffs are expanding from four to 12 teams this season. The SEC and Big Ten, the two most dominant leagues, could potentially have nine teams in the field. Five top conference champions get automatic bids.
Here are two power schools I don’t believe make the field and their current odds to reach the CFP.
How is it Works?
The four highest-ranked conference champions will be seeded Nos. 1-4 and receive a first-round bye. Seeds 5-12 will play each other in the first round. The higher-seeded teams will play host in their first round games. The 13-member selection committee remains in place. There are of course now four power conferences with the Pac-12 imploding: Big Ten, SEC, ACC and Big 12 and it’s very conceivable that the non-power leagues, ACC and Big 12 get just one school in each – leaving the rest for the SEC and Big Ten. There is no limit to how many teams from one conference can qualify. With that in mind, let’s see the two teams that won’t gonna make it.
Florida State Seminoles Playoff Pick +360
This is somewhat cheating regarding the defending ACC champion Seminoles – they ran the table last regular season and beat Louisville in the conference title game yet were left out of the playoff because of a late-season injury to star QB Jordan Travis. It was the first time an unbeaten power conference champion had been left out of the CFP and was the final straw for FSU to sue the ACC in an attempt to leave the league. That may take years, however.
Florida State’s odds to make the CFP were significantly lower but then the Noles were stunned 24-21 in Ireland last Saturday as 11-point favorites against ACC foe Georgia Tech in the first game of the new season. Aidan Birr made a 44-yard field goal as time expired for the Jackets in their first win over a top-10 opponent since a 22-16 victory over the Seminoles in October 2015.
FSU tied the game 21-21 with 6:33 remaining in the fourth quarter forcing the Yellow Jackets to begin what would prove to be the last drive of the game at their own 25. Tech drove 49 yards on 12 plays and milked every second off the clock to set up the game-winning field goal. The FSU defensive line was viewed as one of the ACC’s best but did not record a sack and allowed Tech to run at will with 190 yards rushing.
That loss leaves the Seminoles with very little wiggle room to reach the playoff. They are still No. 10 in the AP Top 25 but that’s simply because there hasn’t been a new poll after the light Week Zero schedule. FSU should bounce back Saturday and beat unranked Georgia Tech in the Noles’ home opener as they are 15.5-point favorites and as long as FSU still wins the ACC it will be fine. But now even reaching the league title game will be a challenge with one ACC loss and still tough league games at SMU, vs. Clemson and at No. 19 Miami to go.
Michigan Wolverines Playoff Pick +145
The defending national champions are poised to take a fairly big step back after losing Coach Jim Harbaugh, quarterback JJ McCarthy, running back Blake Corum and plenty more to the NFL after last season. There at least will be some coaching consistency as Harbaugh’s former offensive coordinator, Sherrone Moore, is now in charge. He served as UM’s acting head coach for four games in 2023 while Harbaugh was suspended and led the team to four wins, including over Ohio State in the regular season finale to earn a third straight trip to the Big Ten title game, which Michigan of course won.
The Wolverines have won three straight games over the bitter rival Buckeyes, but I absolutely all but guarantee that ends this year as Ohio State is truly loaded and hosts in late November. There’s also the fact that Michigan will have a target on its back all season. Since the start of the 2021 season, U-M has been favored in all but three games (Ohio State 2021, Georgia CFP in 2021, at Ohio State in 2022) and only lost two times (Michigan State 2021, TCU CFP 2022) when it was projected to win. According to Moore, it’s because the Wolverines have “a really mature culture” which helps the team make sure it doesn’t overlook any opponent.
We still don’t know as of this writing who starts at quarterback for Saturday’s opener at home vs. Fresno State, which is a 21.5-point dog. Redshirt sophomore Alex Orji, the team’s presumed starter, hasn’t fully separated from his competitor, former walk-on QB Davis Warren. Jack Tuttle, in his seventh year, began spring camp in the mix, but has battled injury in recent months. Moore said he will name his starter either Friday night or early Saturday.
Orji is an excellent athlete who has posted a 41-inch vertical, 4.06-second short shuttle and elite strength for his size. That skill set gives Michigan immense flexibility offensively, especially when it comes to the QB run and option looks. At 6 feet 3 and 235 pounds, the Texas native is seen as perhaps the most athletic quarterback in college football. It likely will be him.
Michigan will certainly beat Fresno State but has an incredibly tough slate that includes No. 4 Texas, No. 23 USC, No. 3 Oregon and No. 2 Ohio State.
Teams That Will and Won’t Make It for 2023 Season
The College Football season will get underway, and it’s time to make the final picks for the season. It’s time to make a few picks on the College Football Playoff. Of course, one of those four teams that make the playoff will win the national title.
Let’s take a look at some College Football Playoffs odds and what teams will and won’t make it.
College Football Playoff Teams That Will and Won’t Make It | MyBookie Regular Season Betting Preview
2023 NCAA Division I FBS season | 154th season of college football in the United States
Regular Season: August 26, 2023 – December 9, 2023
Post-season: December 15, 2023 – January 8, 2024
Teams that WILL Make It
Georgia Bulldogs +220 | WILL Make It
Kirby Smart and his Georgia are seeking their third straight CFB National Title. The schedule does not appear to be able to give them much of a challenge.
The talent remains in Athens, with a question mark at quarterback with Stetson Bennett leaving school. Have no fear; the Bulldogs will pick up those pieces quickly. Just over 2/1 odds to win it all; they will be back.
NCAAF Playoffs: Georgia +220 | Bet Georgia Bulldogs Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
Alabama Crimson Tide +570 | WILL Make It
Alabama and Georgia are both going to run the table in the regular season, and the SEC title game will not matter who wins and who loses. The winner will be the first seed, and there is a good chance the loser will be the third or fourth seed.
Nick Saban is ready to get back to the National Title picture. Look for the Crimson Tide to get back to tough, physical, and smart play in 2023.
NCAAF Playoffs: Alabama +570 | Bet Alabama Crimson Tide Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
Michigan Wolverines +920 | WILL Make It
Will the third time be the charm for Michigan? Doubtful, but they will get back to the College Football Playoff. They could get to the title game, pending their route, but a meet-up against one of the SEC schools will put an end to their season.
NCAAF Playoffs: Michigan +920 | Bet Michigan Wolverines Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
USC Trojans +1425 | WILL Make It
It’s finally time USC broke through. Lincoln Riley and his passing attack finally do not slip up in a Pac-12 game that they should win. This team has a challenging schedule, but this is a very talented team.
Caleb Williams is the Heisman front-runner and is our pick to win it. This is going to be a fun team to watch in 2023.
NCAAF Playoffs: USC +1425 | Bet USC Trojans Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
Teams that WON’T Make it
Ohio State Buckeyes +670 | WON’T Make it
Not trusting Ohio State after losing the talent they lost from last season. Sure, this team is going to be hungry and ready to avenge the loss of a season ago, but they fall short this season, with four teams better than them getting in.
NCAAF Playoffs: Ohio State +670 | Bet Ohio State Buckeyes Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
LSU Tigers +1425 | WON’T Make it
Brian Kelly and his LSU are going to be locked and loaded and better be in Week 1. The Tigers will get a big task in Week 1 against Florida State. The loser of that is not done but has no more room for error all season.
NCAAF Playoffs: LSU +1425 | Bet LSU Tigers Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
Clemson Tigers +1575 | WON’T Make it
Dabo Swinney and Clemson are supposed to have re-loaded and are ready to regain their spot at the top of the ACC standings. Not buying into ACC teams this season. In fact, our pick to win the conference is the Wolf Pack of North Carolina State.
NCAAF Playoffs: Clemson +1575 | Bet Clemson Tigers Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
Florida State Seminoles +2000 | WON’T Make it
There is a lot of hype around the Florida State Seminoles. Many are claiming the Seminoles are back and will show it this season. We would like to see a little more from this program before we are ready to go there. Jordan Travis is very talented, and the offense should be much improved.
The Seminoles will face a tough task in Week 1 when they take on the LSU Tigers in Orlando. After that, the ACC will be up and down on challenges to navigate through.
NCAAF Playoffs: Seminoles +2000 | Bet Florida State Seminoles Make the Playoffs
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Season
There it is. Those are our four College Football teams that WILL and WON’T make the playoff this season. We hope you enjoy the College Football season, and best of luck with all your betting this season!
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