Miami Ohio is the defending MAC football champion and was the preseason favorite to repeat this year, but the RedHawks would face a tough challenge simply getting back to the title game if they are upset at Ball State in a rivalry game MACtion.
The RedHawks, though, are double-digit favorites on the NCAAF odds in Week 11.
| Opening NCAAF Lines Subject to Change: Miami -12 (total 48.5) Expert Prediction in Week 11: Miami 28, Ball State 20 |
Miami Ohio Redhawks -470
Defending MAC champion Miami (4-4, 3-1 MAC) sits in a three-way tie for second this year and would get back to the title game by winning out. The RedHawks won their third straight game on Oct. 26, a 46-7 rout of Central Michigan. That was the 60th win at the school for Coach Chuck Martin, passing Randy Walker’s 59 wins for most in RedHawks history.
Dom Dzioban
Dzioban set a Yager Stadium record with five made field goals for Miami, which scored on 10 of its 11 possessions. It also tied a school record set in 2008. QB Brett Gabbert finished 10-of-12 passing for 165 yards and a score. Following the 75-yard first-quarter touchdown drive by CMU, the Chippewas managed just 93 yards on 38 plays the rest of the contest (2.4 yards per play). Miami’s 39-point margin of victory was its largest ever in the series.
Brett Gabbert
Gabbert, who missed the last six games of the 2023 season with a leg injury, has made 46 starts in his career and ranks third in program history with 9,620 passing yards, sixth in completion percentage (.592) and third in passing touchdowns (72). He is also 26 yards shy of 500 career rushing yards and is responsible for 79 touchdowns (72 passing, 7 rushing) in his career.
Brett Gabbert is back under center for Miami.
— Jack Mueller (@jack_mueller15) October 26, 2024
The veteran QB left in the first quarter with an injury, but is back on the field for the second half.
Keyon Mozee
Helping with the recent offensive output has been senior running back Keyon Mozee. He had just 60 combined rushing yards in the first three games. Since then, he has posted four 100-yard games and Miami is 4-0 when Mozee goes for 100-plus yards (UMass, EMU, Ohio and CMU). Miami’s offensive line is the most experienced unit on the 2024 roster. Reid Holskey has started each of the last 48 games for the Red and White and is followed by Will Jados (32), Kolby Borders (31), and John Young (22). Those four have combined to start 133 games.
Matt Salopek
Linebacker Salopek, the reigning 2023 MAC Defensive Player of the Year, has 463 career tackles and has surpassed 100 stops in 2021, 2022 and 2023. The last time Miami had a player record 100-plus tackles three straight seasons was Matt Pusateri from 2002-04 and no RedHawk has ever secured 100-plus tackles in four-straight seasons. His 463 tackles ranks eighth all-time in program history.
Slow starts are nothing new for Miami football, mostly due to the tough non-conference schedule the team plays annually. Since 2016, Miami continues to improve as the season moves forward. In the months of Aug./Sept. Miami is 13-23. In October, Miami is 19-14 and by the time they reach November, the RedHawks are 18-5.
^Ball State Cardinals +375
Ball State (3-5, 2-2 MAC) still has an outside shot of reaching the MAC title game but can’t afford another loss. The Cardinals were double-digit home underdogs in their most recent game on Oct. 26 and upset Northern Illinois 25-23 as— Jackson Courville booted a career-long, 52-yard field goal as time expired. The sophomore made four field goals, including fourth-quarter kicks from 50 and 52 yards.
Jackson Courville
Courville entered the game 0-of-4 from 50 yards or longer. He became just the second Ball State kicker ever to make multiple 50-yard field goals in the same game, and the first in 40 years. Courville became the first Cardinals’ placekicker with two 50-yarders in the same season since Steven Schott in 2012 (51 at Indiana; 52 vs. EMU).
Last Game
Ball State controlled the game’s tempo by dominating the possession battle, nearly 35 minutes to 25 by the Huskies. The Cardinals earned three turnovers, to none by NIU, and Ball State finished 10-of-18 on third down against a Huskies team that led the country in third-down defense. Ball State’s four takeaways and 4-0 turnover margin vs. NIU were the most by the Cardinals since a 20-3 win over Buffalo in 2021.
Tanner Koziol
BSU has one of the country’s top tight ends in Koziol. He caught exactly nine passes for the fifth time this season. He gained 78 yards and scored two touchdowns in what was his first game with multiple TDs since 2022. Ranked fifth nationally with 8.0 receptions per game, Koziol’s 64 catches and 580 yards this season rank third and fifth, respectively, by a Cardinals tight end. He needs four catches to break the single-season mark (67) established by Mike Leuck in 1983. Koziol’s three-year total of 133 career catches is just 25 shy of Ball State’s career record for a TE (158 by Darius Hill, 2005-08). Quarterback Kadin Semonza has thrown for 1,749 yards and 15 touchdowns this season.
Similar to Harold Fannin at Bowling Green, Tanner Koziol has been the leading force for the Ball State offense (has caught 6 of the team's 16 passing TDs and 64 of 184 completed passes)
— Anthony Russo (@Anthony_Russo97) November 1, 2024
He's 6'7'', 232 lbs, but doesn't get slowed down by his bigger frame. Seems to hold up as a… https://t.co/u0OmH6WjWI
Fumbles
Ball State is one of just 17 schools to have lost only one fumble or less this season. Only three schools — Iowa State, Louisiana and Syracuse — haven’t lost a single fumble. The Cardinals join 14 FBS programs who have lost just one. BSU has scored on 21 of 23 visits inside the Red Zone this season – including 21 in a row. The Cardinals (91.3%) rank 28th in the Red Zone among all FBS teams.
Mike Neu
Currently tied with Dwight Wallace for fourth in Ball State football history with 40 career victories, Mike Neu will stand alone as the Cardinals’ fourth-winningest head coach with a victory Tuesday. Each of Ball State’s past four losses to the RedHawks have come by a single possession — 38-31, 24-17, 18-17 and 17-15. The Redhawks and Cardinals met on the final day of the regular season in both 2022 and 2023 — with each game decided on the game’s final series and by a total of just three points (18-17 and 17-15).
^How to Watch and Bet Miami (OH) at Ball State Odds NCAA Football
When: Tuesday, 8 PM ET
Where: Scheumann Stadium
TV: ESPN
Stream: ESPN+
Miami (Ohio) vs Ball State Series History
The RedBird Rivalry trophy game between Ball State and Miami, two universities separated by a little more than 70 miles, is in its sixth year. The rivalry between the schools dates back to a 1931 meeting in Oxford, Ohio, but didn’t blossom until Ball State joined the MAC in the mid-1970s. Miami leads the series 23-13-1 against the Cardinals and are 10-7 all-time in Muncie. The RedHawks have captured seven of the last eight meetings between the two programs, including each of the last four.
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2019 Miami OH vs Ohio State, Week 4
Ohio State hasn’t lost to an in-state foe since 1921, a streak of 42 straight victories. We feel confident saying that streak will continue Saturday with the Buckeyes as nearly a six-touchdown favorite on the NCAAF odds against Miami of Ohio Redhawks.
How to Bet Miami OH vs Ohio State 2019 College Football Week 4 Odds & Game Info
- When: Saturday, 3:30 PM ET
- Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus
- TV: Big Ten Network
- College Football Week 4 Odds: Ohio State -39 (Total 58.5)
Tennessee vs Florida 2019 College Football Week 4 Odds & Analysis
Series History
This will be the sixth meeting between the two schools, the fourth since 2000 and the first since Urban Meyer’s unbeaten, 2012 Buckeyes defeated Miami, 56-10, to open the season and the Meyer coaching era in Columbus. OSU leads 5-0. This game was announced in April 2017 and came about after Ohio State and TCU modified their scheduled home-and-home series in 2018 and 2019 to one neutral site game in 2018.
Weather Forecast
- Partly Cloudy: 30°C/86°F
- Humidity: 60%
- Precipitation: 10%
- Cloud Cover: 35%
- Wind: 10 mph SSW
- Stadium Type: Open
Why Bet on Miami OH?
The RedHawks are off a 35-15 loss at Cincinnati last Saturday to fall to 1-2. Miami led 10-0 after one quarter but then was dominated. Cincinnati outgained Miami 420-207 on the day, including 234-64 on the ground. Brett Gabbert finished the day 10-of-18 with 143 yards passing for Miami, while Tyre Shelton led MU with 39 yards rushing.
Defensive lineman Kameron Butler’s career day at Cincinnati earned him recognition as the Mid-American Conference’s East Division Defensive Player of the Week. Butler recorded seven tackles (four for loss) along with two sacks against the Bearcat. Butler helped the Miami defense hold Cincinnati to just 186 yards passing on the day. It’s the first time that Butler has earned the MAC East Defensive Player of the Week award.
After graduating 25 seniors last season the RedHawks have several new faces on the team this year, many of them on the offensive side of the ball. Gabbert is was the true freshman to begin a season as Miami’s starting quarterback in school history. Is also the brother of NFL quarterback Blaine Gabbert. Has thrown for 481 yards and two touchdowns in three career starts. The redshirt freshman Shelton leads the team with 108 yards rushing through three games.
Miami is 11-for-12 this season on red zone opportunities. Its lone miss was a fumble inside the red zone last week at UC. In those 12 attempts, Miami has scored eight (66.7%) touchdowns. Last season, Miami was 42-for-43 in the red zone with 35 (81.4%) touchdowns. Miami was also 33-for-33 in the red zone during MAC play with 27 touchdowns last year. In its last 15 games, Miami has scored on 53-of-55 red zone opportunities.
Team Stats (Last 10 Games)
- Score: 13.33
- Rush Yards: 59.67
- Pass Attempts: 48.67
- Completion Percentage: 52.74
- Passing Yards: 266.33
- Total Yards: 326.0
- Turnovers: 2.33
Why Bet on Ohio State?
OSU rolled Indiana 51-10 last week. The Buckeyes (3-0) chalked up 314 rushing yards while throwing for 214 more to total 528 yards of offense in the Big Ten opener.
JK Dobbins rushed for 193 yards on 22 carries with two total touchdowns. Dobbins racked up 175 yards in the first half, which was sixth most in one half by a Buckeye in school history. He finished with 207 total yards. Master Teague also had a big day following Dobbins with 106 rushing yards on 10 carries and a touchdown. Justin Fields threw for three touchdowns and ran for another TD.
Dobbins has rushed for 425 yards so far this season and is averaging 7.1 yards per carry. His yardage total is fourth nationally, his 141.7 yards per game ranks sixth and his yards per carry average ranks 19th. Dobbins has moved into 14th place among all-time Ohio State rushers with 2,881 yards and needs 119 yards to become just the 11th Buckeye to top 3,000 rush yards.
Ohio State holds a 105-point differential through the first three quarters so far this season, including a dominant 73-point edge in the first half (86-13). Ohio State’s defense has allowed just one TD and one field goal the last eight quarters, and is 10th nationally in scoring defense at 10.1 points/game.
As for Miami, Ohio State has won 42 consecutive games against in-state schools and is on a 48-game unbeaten streak (47-0-1) since a 7-6 loss to Oberlin in 1921.
Team Stats (Last 10 Games)
- Score: 39.00
- Rush Yards: 242.33
- Pass Attempts: 31.00
- Completion Percentage: 58.06
- Passing Yards: 220.00
- Total Yards: 462.33
- Turnovers: 0.33
Michigan vs Wisconsin 2019 College Football Week 4 Betting Lines & Prediction
Miami OH vs Ohio State 2019 College Football Week 4 Betting Trends
- Redhawks are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Big 10 conference
- Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played in September
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami-OH’s last 8 games played on a Saturday
- Buckeyes are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home
- Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games played in week 4
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State’s last 7 games
Expert Final Score Prediction for Miami OH vs Ohio State
Miami OH 14 – Ohio State 47
NCAA Football Betting Center
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