March Madness Odds for 2024 National Championship: Purdue vs UConn Lines

March Madness Odds for 2024 National Championship: Purdue vs UConn Lines

The Purdue Boilermakers will take on the Connecticut Huskies in the NCAA Championship on Monday Night from Phoenix. The Connecticut Huskies in the NCAA Tournament have wins over Stetson, Northwestern, San Diego State, Illinois and Alabama. The Huskies have won 11 straight NCAA Tournament games dating back to last season.  Overall, UConn is 36-3.

MyBookie’s brings you the betting preview for this match and their March Madness Odds, plus the winning pick of the game. Everything you need to maximize your bet on this Final of the March Madness.

 

2024 March Madness Odds: Purdue vs. UConn Odds and Pick | MyBookie Betting Preview of the National Championship Game Matchup

2024 NCAA Division I men’s basketball tournament | 85th annual edition of the tournament

1 Purdue Boilermakers (34-4) vs 1 Connecticut Huskies (36-3) | National Championship Game
Spread Odds: UConn -4
Moneyline Odds: UConn -240 / Purdue +170
Total Odds: 145.5

Saturday, April 6, 2024 at 9:20 PM | TBS
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

 

National Championship Matchup | The Basics of the Game

Purdue is out of the Big Ten Conference. The Boilermakers won the regular season title, and then fell to Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament. Purdue is 34-4 on the season, and coming off a 13 point win over North Carolina State on Saturday.

The Connecticut Huskies are -4 in this game over Purdue. The total for this affair is listed at 145.5. Purdue shows +225 on the moneyline.

 

Edey and the Boilermakers One Win Away

Zach Edey continued to be the man for the Purdue Boilermakers. Matt Painter’s squad got him the basketball early and often, as he discord 20 points and ripped down 12 rebounds. Edey shot just two free throws in the game. Over the first four NCAA Tournament games, Edey was averaging 8 free throw attempts per game.

The Boilermakers saw Lance Jones score 14 and Fletcher Loyer add 11 in the win as well. The win for Purdue came with the Boilermakers making 10 of 25 from behind the three point line. The defense for Purdue held North Carolina State to 5 for 19 from three.

Purdue has lost four games all season. All four of their losses came to Big Ten Teams. After running the non conference table, the Boilermakers lost games to Northwestern, Nebraska, Ohio State and then Wisconsin. This is the first time since 1969 that Purdue has been in the NCAA Men’s title game. A season ago, Purdue lost in the first round of the tournament.

 

Huskies On Fire

The Huskies used double digit scoring from all five of their starters in the win over Alabama. Stephon Castle led the way with 21 points, while Donovan Clingan added 18 in the game. The Huskies also went 10 for 25 from downtown. 

In the Elite 8 win over Illinois, the Huskies went on a 30-0 run to eventually win the game by 25 points. The Huskies defense blocked 10 shots from the Orange and Blue that day. UConn also knocked down just three shots from three point range, but had four guys score double digits in the game.

UConn has just three losses all season. Their first loss came to Kansas on the road in early December. This second loss was in conference play; on the road at Seton Hall. Finally, the last time the Huskies lost a game was February 20th at Creighton.

 

Purdue vs. UConn Final Pick | Huskies Win Back to Back

The UConn Huskies are going to win this game on Monday Night. The Huskies are going to back to -back College Basketball Champions. The guard play is elite, the big man is really good, and the defense is terrific. Danny Hurley as the head coach is going to get the job done. The Big East wins another title. Our final bet for this game from Phoenix is the UConn Huskies -4 over the Purdue Boilermakers. Enjoy the game and best of luck with all your bets!

Purdue vs UConn
Final Four ATS Pick: UConn Huskies -4 | March Madness Odds to Win College Basketball National Championship MyBookie College Basketball lines for the matchup


 
National Championship Odds to Win
 

Updated Top 25 College Basketball National Championship Odds to Win

Teams Odds
UConn Huskies -240
Purdue Boilermakers +170

Bet College Basketball Odds to Win

 

Also, looking for the Final Four Betting Over/Under Picks, check it out, worth the read and worht the bet.

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March Madness Odds Updated for 2023 National Championship
 

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What a wild first and second rounds of the NCAA Tournament with two No. 1 seeds already out Big Ten regular-season and tournament champion Purdue, which has the National Player of the Year in Zach Edey, was stunned by No. 16 Fairleigh Dickinson 63-58 on Friday, just the second No. 1 team to lose in Round 1 ever.

National Championship Odds After Round of 32 | March Madness Lines

Purdue’s 58 points were its second-lowest total of the season (Maryland – 54). Fairleigh Dickinson entered the game with the fifth-worst defensive efficiency in the country. The Boilermakers lost their first neutral-site game of the season, ending the year with a 7-1 neutral-site record.

Zach Edey tallied 21 points, 15 rebounds, three blocks and an assist. It marked his 27th double-double of the season (one off the school record set by Caleb Swanigan in 2017) and his 39th career double-double. Edey finished the season with 757 points, 438 rebounds, 72 blocked shots and 52 assists. He set the school record for most rebounds in a season (438) and is the first player nationally in the last 30 years to have at least 750 points, 400 rebounds, 70 blocks and 50 assists in a season. Edey is the only player in Big Ten history with 750 points and 400 rebounds in a season.

No Big Ten school has won a national title since Michigan State in 2000 and only the seventh-seeded Spartans are still standing this year. They are +3300 to win it all and face No. 3 Kansas State in the Sweet 16. Michigan State defeated No. 2 Marquette in Round 2 despite only making two 3-pointers in the game (2-of-16 shooting from 3), the second-fewest three-pointers by MSU this season (0 vs. Illinois).

Michigan State is in the Sweet 16 for the first time since reaching the Final Four in 2019. Tom Izzo will be making his 15th appearance in the Sweet 16. Izzo is a remarkable 24-7 in the second game of the weekend during NCAA Tournament play and 15-4 in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Izzo now has the most wins (16) as a lower seed by a head coach in NCAA Tournament history (Jim Boeheim, Syracuse, 15).

The Pac-12 hasn’t won a title since 1997 when Arizona did it. The second-seeded Wildcats were a popular pick to reach the Final Four this time but were upset by No. 15 Princeton in Round 1, just the 11th time that a No. 15 beat a No. 2. Arizona became the first school to have it happen twice, also losing to No. 15 Santa Clara and Steve Nash in 1993.

That leaves only fellow No. 2 seed UCLA alive in the Pac-12, with the Bruins at +750 to win it all. They are in the Sweet 16 for a third straight year and face No. 3 Gonzaga in a marquee matchup on Thursday. UCLA has now advanced to the NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16 (regional semifinals) in six of the past 10 seasons (2014, 2015, 2017, 2021, 2022 and 2023). The Bruins are seeking their first appearance in the Elite Eight since advancing to the Final Four in 2021.

No. 1 overall seed Alabama is the +360 title favorite. The Tide outscored No. 8 seed Maryland by 17 points in the second half to cruise to a 73-51 victory Saturday night in the NCAA Tournament second round. The Crimson Tide are in their second Sweet 16 appearance in the last three years and ninth showing in program history. The Tide’s margin of victory in its two games in Birmingham was 21.5 points per contest and included two of the five top margin of victories in the program’s tournament history.

Head coach Nate Oats improved to 10-3 (.769) in 13 postseason games while at the helm of the Alabama men’s basketball program. Oats also improved to 4-2 (.667) in six NCAA Tournament appearances at Alabama, including a pair of Sweet 16 showings. Bama faces No. 5 San Diego State in the Sweet 16.

The longest-shot left on the board is No. 15 Princeton at +10000 to win the title after upsetting No. 2 Arizona and No. 7 Missouri. However, we expect the Tigers to lose their Sweet 16 game vs. Creighton (+1100) with the Bluejays as 10-point favorites.

After suffering regular-season losses to teams like Delaware (234th on KenPom), Brown (173rd) and Dartmouth (260th), there were no indications the Ivy League regular-season and tournament champions would somehow make a run to its first Sweet 16 appearance since 1967.

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2022 NCAA Basketball National Championship Odds: Last Minute Betting Analysis and Prediction
 

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Just a few weeks ago, some were doubting whether or not the North Carolina Tar Heels would even make the tournament. Well, that was then, and this is now, and the Heels will be playing for the National Championship on Monday night in New Orleans against the Kansas Jayhawks. Let’s have a final look of North Carolina and Kansas so you can make your bets against their NCAA Basketball National Championship Odds.

Last-minute National Championship Betting Prediction | Kansas vs North Carolina

North Carolina, an #8 seed, advanced to the title game with a hard-fought victory over their bitter rivals, the Duke Blue Devils. Ironically enough, it was North Carolina who ended Mike Krzyzewki’s storied coaching career.

The Kansas Jayhawks, the only #1 seed to advance to the Final Four, defeated a pesky Villanova squad to advance to the championship game.

Kansas has been on a roll throughout the NCAA Tournament, and the oddsmakers have made the Jayhawks a 4.5-point favorite. This is Bill Self’s 19th season at Kansas, and he has won one national championship with the Jayhawks.

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Analysis

This is the 16th time in school history that the Jayhawks have been in the Final Four. This will be their 10th national championship game. As we mentioned before, Bill Self’s squad won a national championship in 2008, and they will be playing for the fourth title in program history.

Kansas has been led by All-American guard Ochai Agbaji. Agbaji was a star against Villanova, as his hot shooting from beyond the arc was key to the Jayhawks’ victory.

David McCormack also had a great game against the Wildcats. While Remy Martin didn’t play well against Villanova, he has been a huge part of the Jayhawks’ run. They’re a very versatile team, and any number of players can light up the scoreboard on any given night.

North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Analysis

This is the 21st time, which leads all NCAA schools, that North Carolina has advanced to the Final Four. The Tar Heels will be looking to win their seventh national title. It would be quite the story if first-year head coach Hubert Davis could win a title in his first season leading the team.

Armando Bacot has been huge for the Tar Heels throughout the postseason. The post player has been especially good on the glass, grabbing 21 boards against Duke.

Even though he rolled his ankle late in the game, we anticipate him playing on Monday night. The hot shooting of Brady Manek, RJ Davis, and Caleb Love, who had 28 points against Duke, have sparked the Heels.

Betting Numbers

Heading into the title game, the Jayhawks have won 10 games in a row. In those ten games, they’ve gone 7-3 against the spread.

The Tar Heels have been good in their last ten games as well, as they’ve gone 9-1 straight up and against the spread. So, these numbers don’t give us much help when looking to make our prediction.

In looking at both teams, we like the Kansas Jayhawks to win this one. Their defense was stellar against Villanova, and they can score in a variety of ways.

With Bacot’s ankle being an issue, we don’t think that the Tar Heels will have enough firepower to beat Kansas.

While we like Kansas to win, we see this one being very close. Kansas wins by less than 4.5 points.

 
2022 #3 Arizona vs #9 UCLA | NCAAB Tournament Championship Odds
 

Previous Betting News

The game of the night around college basketball on Tuesday is also the lone 11 p.m. ET tip as No. 3 Arizona visits No. 9 UCLA – although both rankings could change in the new poll Monday. The Bruins will be short home favorites on the NCAAB odds.

How to Bet Arizona at UCLA NCAA Basketball Odds & TV Info

When: Tuesday, 11 PM ET
Where: Pauley Pavilion
TV: ESPN
Stream: ESPN app
Radio: Tunein.com
Opening NCAAB Lines: TBA (UCLA will be favored)

Last Meeting

It’s the first meeting of the year between these schools. They were supposed to play Dec. 30 at UCLA but was postponed for COVID reasons. Last season, UCLA won both. The one in Los Angeles was 74-60. Jaime Jaquez Jr. scored 25 points to lead the Bruins. They got 13 points from Tyger Campbell and 10 points from Cody Riley in beating Arizona for the fifth straight time. UCLA made 9 of 10 shots to start the second half and take a 49-39 lead. The Bruins outscored the Wildcats 19-8, getting six points each from Jaquez and Riley. Arizona missed six of its first nine shots. The Bruins shot 73% from the floor in the second half, making 19 of 26 shots. The Wildcats committed 16 turnovers that led to 18 points for UCLA.

Why Bet on Arizona?

The Wildcats (16-1) come off a 96-71 win at Cal on Sunday. Arizona won handily despite being without second-leading scorer Azuolas Tubelis, who suffered a lower-body injury last Thursday against Stanford. Not clear if he will play here. He is 4th in the Pac-12 in scoring (15.1), 12th in rebounding (6.1) and fifth in FG% (56.9). The Wildcats had a 14-point lead six minutes into the game, were ahead 21 at halftime and led by 29 on the way to their 10th consecutive win over the Bears.

Cal made its best push coming out of halftime and got within 56-40, but Kerr Kriisa made a pair of 3s and Arizona scored 13 straight to pull away. Kriisa’s fourth 3-pointer put the Wildcats ahead 78-49. Big men Christian Koloko and Oumar Ballo combined for 35 points. Koloko collected his fifth double-double of the season with 19 points and a career-high 13 rebounds. All nine Wildcats who took the floor for more than two minutes scored, and five finished with double-digit points.

Koloko ranks 10th in the country in blocks (3.3) while averaging 12.6 points and team-high 6.4 rebounds in conference play. He’s a candidate for not only Defensive Player of the Year but also Most Improved Player after averaging 5.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.3 blocks last year. He was 7 of 7 from the floor on his way to 16 points against Utah.

UA leads the nation in scoring margin (24.3), assists per game (21.8), rebounds per game (43.1), avg. possession length (14.4), assist rate (67.2%) and 2-point FG% defense (39.4%). The Cats are in the top 10 nationally in the following categories: scoring offense (2nd), field goal pct. defense (2nd), blocked shots/game (3rd), total assists (3rd), field goal pct. (4th), assist/turnover ratio (7th) and rebound margin (7th)

The Wildcats are off to their best start since winning 21 straight to open the 2013-14 season. This season’s only loss came against then-No. 19 Tennessee on Dec. 22.

Why Bet on UCLA?

The Bruins (13-2) won at Colorado 71-65 on Saturday. Johnny Juzang scored a team-leading 23 points and had six rebounds. Juzang and Jaime Jaquez Jr., who finished the game with 14 points, five rebounds and four assists, were the Bruins’ only players to score in double figures. Juzang scored at least 20 points for the fourth consecutive game.

Leading by a 43-28 margin at halftime, UCLA scored just 12 points through the first 15 minutes of the second half. Colorado reduced the Bruins’ advantage down to one point – at 62-61 with 1:54 to play in regulation – before Tyger Campbell drilled a key 3-point basket at the 1:37 mark. Campbell’s triple put UCLA ahead, 65-61.

The Buffaloes cut UCLA’s lead to 65-63 on a pair of free throws by Evan Battey with 1:14 left in the contest. Through the game’s final 30 seconds, the Bruins made all six of their free throw attempts to preserve the crucial Pac-12 road win.

UCLA ranks No. 1 in the Pac-12 Conference in 3-point FG percentage (35.9%) and No. 2 in assist-turnover ratio (1.54). Campbell ranks No. 3 in the nation in assist-turnover ratio (3.8-to-1). He has become UCLA’s first player since Darren Collison (2006-09) to serve as the team’s primary point guard for three consecutive seasons. From 2011-12 through 2018-19, the Bruins used seven different players who serve as the team’s starting point guard. UCLA ranks No. 1 in the Pac-12 (No. 9, nationally) in fewest turnovers committed per game (9.7).

The Bruins have won 17 of their last 19 home games in Pac-12 play (losses to USC in March of 2021 and Oregon on Jan. 13, 2022). UCLA won its final seven home Pac-12 games in 2019-20, during Coach Mick Cronin’s first season as the Bruins’ head coach. Since the start of the 2016-17 season, the Bruins have registered a Pac-12 record of 63-32. Since the start of the 2019-20 season, UCLA has gone 31-6 in all 37 home contests (Pauley Pavilion). This season, UCLA has compiled 7-1 mark in eight home games.

Expert Prediction: UCLA 78, Arizona 76

 
2022 NCAA Basketball National Championship Odds: North Carolina vs Kansas Betting Analysis
 

Previous Betting News

We have reached the final day of the 2021-22 NCAA basketball season, with the National Championship ending it all.

There is only one team that can finish their season with a win which means one team will be celebrating with joy, and the other team will be sulking in sorrow. The National Championship tips off at 9:20 p.m. (ET) on Monday night. It’s time we take a look at the upcoming Championship game between UNC and Kansas so you can bet against their College Basketball National Championship Odds

Men’s College Basketball Championship Betting Preview: UNC Tar Heels vs Kansas Jayhawks Odds

It has been a long road to this point for the North Carolina Tar Heels, but it is a story they will never forget. The Tar Heels knocked off their arch-rivals in two of the biggest games of the year. The most important win was in the Final Four on Saturday night to advance to the National Championship. 

The Kansas Jayhawks continue to play at a very high level, playing arguably their most complete game of the season against the Villanova Wildcats in the Final Four. The Big 12 Champions look to be a tough team to stop, especially with Ochai Agbaji. Can Kansas get the job done for their first championship since 2008? 

North Carolina Tar Heels Notes

What a run it has been by the #8 seed, the Tar Heels from North Carolina. In their first season without legendary head coach Roy Williams, the Tar Heels are looking for their second National Championship in five years. The 2017 team beat Gonzaga in the National Championship for their sixth title in program history. 

Hubert Davis has taken his team to the next level as they have got hot down the stretch. Their last loss was suffered to Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. It has been a complete team effort to get to this point, with multiple players performing at a high level. 

The Tar Heels have four players that can dominate a game at any time. Caleb Love has been huge in the postseason, scoring 28 points in the Final Four win.

Armando Bacot is a beast down low, and you cannot forget about Brady Manek and R.J. Davis. Bacot has been a force to be reckoned with in the last two games, posting back-to-back 20 plus rebound performances. 

Kansas Jayhawks Notes

Kansas is determined and willing to lay it all on the line for the one shining moment here in the National Championship. They have played tough all year, and you can never count them out. The Jayhawks are currently riding a 10-game winning streak.

Ochai Agbaji has been the standout player for Kansas this season. Averaging 18.9 points per game as a senior. He has received help along the way from Christian Braun, David McCormack, and Jalen Wilson.

McCormack will have his hands full in the title game with Bacot. This is set to be a great matchup with plenty of star power. 

Remy Martin, the transfer from Arizona State, has proved to be a good addition for the Jayhawks. Martin led Kansas through the first three games of the NCAA Tournament in points. McCormack was able to take advantage of the inside game against Villanova in the Final Four.

So much is on the line in this game, most importantly the National Title.

Will North Carolina be able to bounce back after the emotional win on Saturday night? Can Kansas tame the hot team in North Carolina?

Find out on Monday night as these two teams play for it all on TBS.

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2022 NCAA Men’s Basketball National Championship Betting Update: Gonzaga Back at the Top
 

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We are in full swing of the conference season and before we know it, Selection Sunday will be here. We have had multiple shifts inside the AP Polls and at the top of the rankings. Gonzaga opened the season with the best odds to win and the #1 team in the AP Poll and after half the season, they still have the best odds and the #1 spot in the rankings. Let’s take a look at our updated NCAA Basketball National Championship Odds and who may be in it, to win it this season.

Updated Men’s College Basketball Championship Odds

Gonzaga Bulldogs +600

The current favorite to win the NCAA Championship is the Gonzaga Bulldogs. They have jumped the previous favorite for the last two weeks, the Baylor Bears. The Bulldogs started the season as the favorite to win it all and as of the recent odds, they still are. Can they hold onto those odds for the rest of the season?

With a current record of 14-2 on the season, it would be very surprising to see Gonzaga lose a game the rest of the year. They play in the weakest conference of any ranked team and they should dominate the WCC as they have for years. The next two games for the Bulldogs are Televised games on CBS Sports Network. We will have the chance to see the Bulldogs up close to see how they handle big games.

Gonzaga may have the best duo of players in all of the NCAA. Chet Holmgren and Drew Timme have been leading the way for the Bulldogs so far this season. Timme leads the team in points per game, averaging 18.6 points. Holmgren leads the team in rebounds averaging 8.5 per game.

With the weak conference schedule, Gonzaga will more than likely win another conference championship and be headed for the #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament. If the Bulldogs are able to stay undefeated they will continue to be favored to win it all.

Baylor Bears +900

Baylor had a rough week last week, but they bounced back nicely with a road win at West Virginia. They were the NCAA champions last year and are looking to win back-to-back championships. Going back-to-back would be the first time it has happened since Florida in 2006 and 2007. The Bears have a good team once again this season and it would be smart to bet on them again this season.

The Bears started the season 15-0 but lost two conference games in a row against Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. The Baylor Bears still have to play Kansas twice this season and they do have one non-conference game left against top-ranked Alabama. The Big 12 Conference is going to be a gauntlet to play in this season, so the tough road is far from over for Baylor.

The scoring for the Bears has been paced by James Akinjo, as he has averaged 13.9 points per game. LJ Cryer has had a great season for himself as well. He is averaging 13.9 points as well and helps facilitate the offense with Akinjo. The Bears will be a very tough team to beat and would be a smart bet to win the National Championship.

Purdue Boilermakers +1200

The favorite out of The Big Ten this week is the Purdue Boilermakers after a big double-overtime win against Illinois on Monday. The Boilermakers have a big man duo that may match Gonzaga’s. With Zach Edey and Trevion Williams, Purdue will be a very tough team to match up with.

The Boilermakers also have two guards that can be playmakers. Jaden Ivey, who is getting National Player of the Year attention, and Sasha Stefanovic, one of the best three-point shooters in the country, can be very dangerous. Both played influential roles in the win against Illinois.

The one knock on Purdue is if they fail to get the inside game going, they may not have enough guard depth to make up for it. The bread and butter for Purdue is working through Edey and Williams. Teams looking to take down Purdue will have to outrebound them and force both their bigs off the blocks if they want to win.

 
Texas Tech vs Virginia 2019 Men’s College Basketball National Championship Odds / Live Stream / TV Channel, Date / Time & Preview
 

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders handled Michigan State in their Final Four Semifinal game 61-51 while the Virginia Cavaliers took down their semifinal opponent 63-62. The two best teams in college basketball now battle it out on Monday night for the NCAA Men’s College Basketball Championship. The 2019 National Championship odds make Virginia a slight favorite. Check out an analysis and free pick for Texas Tech vs Virginia!

Texas Tech vs Virginia 2019 Men’s College Basketball National Championship Odds & Game Info

When: Monday, April 8 at 9:20pm ET
Where: S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
TV: CBS
ATS Odds: Virginia -1
Over/Under Total Odds: 117 ½

Why Texas Tech Red Raiders are a good bet +1?

Texas Tech’s been the best team in the NCAA Tournament. March has been anything but mad for the Red Raiders. Texas Tech beat Northern Kentucky 72-57, Buffalo 78-58, Michigan 63-44, Gonzaga 75-69, and Michigan State 61-51 on their way to the National Championship versus Virginia.

The Red Raiders won’t slow down on Monday night. Virginia might be the higher-seed among the opponents, but Texas Tech has played better than Virginia throughout the tournament.

Why Virginia Cavaliers are a good bet at -1?

The Virginia Cavaliers needed some luck to make it to the National Championship. Th Cavaliers battled Auburn tough, but with only .6 second left, the Auburn Tigers held a 2 point lead. Virginia passed the ball in and shot a three from the corner. The referee called a foul on the three-point shot, UVA hit all 3 free throws, and the Cavaliers won the game.

As improbable as that was, it could be a sign that Virginia’s a team of destiny. Team’s of destiny win no matter who they face in National Championship games.

March Madness Betting Trends for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Virginia Cavaliers

Texas Tech vs Virginia Final March Madness Betting Analysis

Team of destiny or not, Virginia only allows 55.5 points per game, ranking first in college hoops, meaning they’ve got a shot to win the National Championship. However, there’s a stat that could end the Cavaliers’ hopes at lifting the trophy.

Virginia shoots 39.3% from behind the arc. Their three-point shooting is the main reason they’ve made it so far in the tournament. Without their three-point shooting, UVA’s a normal team on offense. That’s where the problem lies.

Texas Tech has been awesome against the three-point shot in the NCAA Tournament. Michigan shot 5% from three versus the Red Raiders while both Gonzaga and Michigan State shot less than 30%. That makes Texas Tech a bad matchup for the Cavaliers. The Red Raiders should win by around 6 to 7 points on April 8. They’ll take the National Championship Trophy back to Lubbock.

2019 National Championship Betting Pick: Texas Tech +1

2019 March Madness Expert Betting News

 
2017 Gonzaga vs North Carolina 2017 National Championship Odds, Preview & Pick
 

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It’s a chalk national championship game on Monday night as No. 1 Gonzaga looks for the first championship in school history but is a slight College Basketball betting underdog against fellow No. 1 seed North Carolina, which tries for the sixth title in its history.

Gonzaga vs North Carolina 2017 National Championship Odds, Preview & Pick

When: Monday, April 3, 9:20 PM ET
Where: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, Ariz.
TV: CBS
Opening NCAAB Lines: UNC -1.5 (153.5)

Why Bet on Gonzaga?

The Zags (37-1) were statistically the best team in the country this season and have just the one loss so it shouldn’t shock anyone that they are here. Coach Mark Few’s career winning percentage of .818 is the best in the country among active coaches. No. 2 is North Carolina’s Roy Williams at .790. In the past 50 years, teams making their first national championship appearance are just 8-15. No school has won its first title in its first appearance since Maryland in 2002.

Only one team — Gonzaga — shot higher than 40 percent from the floor in Saturday’s two Final Four games. The Zags beat No. 7 South Carolina 77-73. Nigel Williams-Goss scored 23 points. The Bulldogs’ 7-footers, senior Przemek Karnowski and freshman Zach Collins, took care of things on both ends of the court, combining for 18 rebounds. Collins also had a career-high six blocks.

The freshman Collins’ 15.3 block percentage in the NCAA Tournament action a good deal higher than his whole-season number (9.6), it would have ranked No. 1 in Division I this if sustained across all of 2016-17.

The Zags scored their 77 points vs. South Carolina in 69 possessions against the No. 2 rated defense in the country. Gonzaga had more paint points in the first 30 minutes of the game than South Carolina hadallowed per game (22.5) in the tournament to date. The Zags have the country’s best defense.

Expect a close game. Since 1985, there have been six national finals contested between No. 1 seeds: North Carolina vs. Michigan in 1993, Connecticut vs. Duke in 1999, North Carolina vs. Illinois in 2005, Florida vs. Ohio State in 2007, Kansas vs. Memphis in 2008 and Duke vs. Wisconsin in 2015. All of those finals were decided by single digits, with an average margin of victory of just 5.8 points.

Gonzaga didn’t play any other ACC schools this season. The Zags have played North Carolina since being blown out in the regional semifinal of the 2009 NCAA Tournament. Gonzaga had one of the best records against the spread in all of college basketball this season (23-10- 2 ATAS), beating the oddsmakers’ number 69.7 percent of the time and beating the spread by an average of 4.9 points per game.

Why Bet on North Carolina?

UNC advanced with a 77-76 win over No. 3 Oregon despite missing four straight late free throws – getting the offensive rebound both times. Kennedy Meeks had one of the best games of his career (11-of-13 FGs) with 25 points and 14 rebounds but the rest of the team shot only 25 percent. Junior point guard Joel Berry II went 2-for- 14 against the Ducks – Berry is playing with two sprained ankles and didn’t show the explosion he typically does. It was the lowest field-goal percentage in a win (.371) for UNC all season.

North Carolina was the nation’s top rebounding team this season, grabbing an average of 13 more boards than their opponents. Against the Ducks, the rebounding battle was even (43 each), though North Carolina got five more on the offensive glass, which resulted in 19 second-chance points, 10 more shots and, eventually, the win. In five tournament games Meeks has rebounded 17.4 percent of theHeels' missed shots, even better than his whole-season number of 16.4.

This would be Williams’ third national championship, a number that would jump him ahead of Rick Pitino (two) and place the UNC coach all by himself in second place among active coaches. Only Mike Krzyzewski (five) has more rings among coaches now working — and, all-time, Williams would be tied with Jim Calhoun (Connecticut) and Bob Knight (Indiana), behind only Adolph Rupp (four), Coach K and John Wooden (10).

North Carolina is 5-5 in NCAA Tournament title games. The Heels lost last year to Villanova on Kris Jenkins’ 3-point buzzer-beater. North Carolina is 3-0 all-time against No. 1 seeds in the National Championship Game. The 3 wins are the most of any team.

If the Heels get by the Zags, they’ll become the fourth team in history to win the title the year after losing in the championship game. The three previous instances came from blue blood programs, and one of them is UNC: The Heels lost the 1981 title game to Indiana, 63-50, and beat Georgetown the next year. In 1990, Duke lost 103-93 to UNLV, then beat Kansas 72-65 in in 1991. And in 1997, Kentucky was knocked off 84-79 by Arizona in overtime, then beat Utah 78-69 in 1998.

Gonzaga vs North Carolina 2017 National Championship Pick: North Carolina Tar Heels and the Under

I’d feel much more confident picking UNC if Berry was 100 percent, but we’ll stick with the Heels as they were out pre-tournament pick to win it all.

Tar Heels are 3-0- 1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Tar Heels are 21-8- 3 ATS in their last 32 neutral site games as a favorite.

Bulldogs are 1-4- 1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

Bulldogs are 0-3- 1 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.

 
 

 

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