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A pair of teams with World Cup title aspirations throw down in the 2022 quarterfinals on Friday when Argentina takes on the Netherlands. After suffering a big loss versus Saudi Arabia, Lionel Messi and his mates settled down and have since dominated. The Netherlands showed the United States what a real World Cup contender plays like in their knockout stage victory. Can the Dutch continue to ascend? Will the Albiceleste continue to play at a high-level? See below for FIFA World Cup Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Netherlands versus Argentina.

2022 FIFA World Cup Betting Analysis: Netherlands vs Argentina Matchup

FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022: Quarterfinals – Netherlands versus Argentina

• When: Friday, Dec. 9 at 2:00 p.m. ET

• Where: Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail, Qatar

• TV/Streaming: FOX 

• Handicap Odds: Argentina -0.5 +121 / Netherlands +0.5 -154

• Moneyline Odds: Netherlands +246 / Argentina +126 / Draw +214

• Total Odds: O 2.5 +142 / U 2.5 -183

Why Netherlands is a good play versus the Argentina

During this World Cup cycle, few teams have impressed as much as the Orange. The Dutch started their quest to become the ninth team to win the World Cup by beating Senegal 2-0.

Then in their next match, the Netherlands drew 1-1 with Ecuador. In their third, the Dutch beat Qatar.

In the knockout stage victory over the United States, the Netherlands took it to another level. Holland beat the U.S. 3-1 even though Team USA controlled possession 58% to 42%. The Netherlands took less shots but every shot on goal, all 3, found the net.  

Netherlands Last 5

• W – 3-1 vs. United States
• W – 2-0 vs. Qatar
• D – 1-1 vs. Ecuador
• W – 0-2 vs. Senegal 
• W – 1-0 vs. Belgium

Netherlands Predicted Starting Lineup

• Pasveer
• van Dijk
• Ake
• Timber
• de Jong
• Berghuis
• Gakpo
• Blind
• Dumfries
• Depay
• Bergwijn

Why Argentina is a good play versus the Netherlands

The 1-2 loss to Saudi Arabia surprised. But since then, Argentina has rolled. The Albiceleste blasted both Mexico and Poland, their final two group stage opponents, 2-0.

Then versus Australia, the Argentinians broke down one of the top defenses at the World Cup, controlling possession 61% to 39%, taking 14 shots to Australia’s 5, and taking 5 shots on goal to the Aussie’s 1. 

Yes, Australia’s 1-shot on goal made it to the net, but the shot happened in the 77th minute when Argentina was up 2-0. 

Argentina Last 5

• W – 2-1 vs. Australia 
• W – 0-2 vs. Poland
• W – 2-0 vs. Mexico
• L – 1-2 vs. Saudi Arabia
• W – 0-5 vs. United Arab Emirates

Argentina Predicted Starting Lineup

• Emiliano Martinez
• Lisandro Martinez
• Otamendi
• Correa
• Gonzalez
• De Paul
• Paredes
• Di Maria
• Messi
• Lautaro Martinez
• Alvarez

Final Betting Analysis: Netherlands vs Argentina

Heading into the World Cup, many wondered if Argentina could produce an excellent attack and an excellent defense. The answer is yes.

For a third straight match, Argentina beat a team in possession, shots, and shots on goal. Versus Poland, the Argentinians were brilliant on defense, holding the Polish to 27% possession, 4 total shots, and 0 shots on goal.

Argentina won’t control possession as much versus the Netherlands, but the Albiceleste has something the Dutch don’t. Lionel Messi is playing out of his mind. 

One of the greatest to have ever stepped onto a pitch is not only scoring goals, but he’s setting up his teammates. He’s also pulling back and helping out on defense. 

Messi is locked in and like the greatest NFL quarterbacks, he’s seeing things develop before they happen. It won’t be as easy as beating Australia, but the Albiceleste beats the Orange and makes it to the World Cup Semifinals. 

World Cup Pick: Argentina

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