The EURO 2020 comes to its conclusion on Sunday when the English and Italians step onto the pitch in the tournament’s final. Both England and Italy have played fantastic. Both are hot heading to the championship match and both feel they can win the trophy. England is a slight favorite over Italy, but the Italians have dominated in the past couple of years. Will the English finally notch their first major tournament win since 1966? Or will Italy show they’re back where they belong, atop Europe’s soccer mountain? Let’s try answer those questions for you so you can get all set to make your bets against their Euro Cup odds.

UEFA Euro Cup 2020 Match to Must Bet On July 11th – England vs Italy

Euro 2020 Final Odds & Match Info

• When: Sunday, July 11 at 3:00pm ET
• Moneyline Odds: England +158 / Italy +174
• Draw Odds: +188

Why bet on England versus Italy?

England has won four straight in the tournament. It hasn’t been easy, but somehow, someway, the English pull through. Versus Denmark, England found themselves down 0-1. But they rallied to tie the match before Harry Kane kicked in a penalty shot in overtime to get the win. England is loaded at every level. If any team can end Italy’s run, it’s the English. 

England Last 5

• W – 2-1 vs. Denmark
• W – 0-4 vs. Ukraine
• W – 2-0 vs. Germany
• W – 0-1 vs. Czech Republic
• D – 0-0 vs. Scotland

England Predicted Starting Lineup

• Pickford
• Maguire
• Stones
• Shaw
• Walker
• Mount
• Rice
• Phillips
• Kane
• Sterling 
• Saka

Why bet on Italy versus England

After mowing through Turkey, Switzerland, and Wales during group play, the Italians beat an Austrian squad with 21 European League players, the top-ranked Belgians boasting Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, and the incredibly talented Spanish. Italy has proven they can beat the best in the world already. Not only that, but Italy can play any style of soccer. 

Italy Last 5

• W – 1-1 vs. Spain
• W – 1-2 vs. Belgium
• W – 2-1 vs. Austria
• W – 1-0 vs. Wales
• W – 3-0 vs. Switzerland

Italy Predicted Starting Lineup

• Donnarumma
• Chiellini
• Bonucci
• Emerson
• Di Lorenzo
• Jorginho
• Verratti
• Barella
• Immobile 
• Insigne
• Chiesa

Final Betting Analysis: England vs Italy

On paper, England looks like the better squad. Not only do the English start Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling, and Harry McGuire, three of the best players at their respective positions in the world, but the English are so deep they can bring a player of Phil Foden’s quality off the bench.

Foden, Kane, Sterling, and McGuire make England close to impossible to beat. However, the Italians have won 33 straight, a record. Italian fans would have reason to worry if Italy hadn’t won many of those matches in different ways. 

Italy faced a tough customer in Spain, but the Italians pulled through via penalty kicks. In the match before, Italy beat Belgium by being aggressive. The Italians dominated Switzerland and Turkey during group play by playing the same way they did against Belgium.

In the 1-0 win against Wales, Italy played a more subdued style. Italy’s flexibility makes them the team to back on Sunday. England can be flexible as well, but the Italians can strike quickly, or take their time after grabbing possession.

It will be tough for England to deal with Immobile, Insigne, and Chiesa and then break down Italy’s defense led by Emerson, Bonucci, and Chielini. Once the English get a shot on goal, one of the top keepers in the world, AC Milan’s Gianluigi Donnarumma, will be there ready to prevent Kane and Sterling from kicking it into the back of the net.

England can win this match. But there’s something special about this group of Italian players. In the EURO 2020 Final, Italy should prevail.   

Soccer Pick: Italy

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